2024-04-23 Zambian Kwacha News

Summary of Last Month

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  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

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Trend

The provided dataset depicts the exchange rate fluctuation of a specific currency (ZMW) over time. By analyzing this dataset, we can derive some insights on its performance trends, potential recurring patterns, and any notable outliers. Here is the detailed interpretation:

Trend Analysis

Over the considerable period captured by this data, there seems to be a slow but overall reduction in the ZMW exchange rate. The rate starts at an initial value of 0.0535 and gradually reduces to a final recorded value of 0.05308. This trend might imply that the forex market for ZMW has experienced a slight depreciation over this period. However, the marginal rate of decrease is quite small suggesting a reasonable level of stability in its forex performance.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

On a closer examination of the data, there don't appear to be distinct seasonality patterns or truly repetitive fluctuations at regular intervals. The exchange rate demonstrates minor variability, oscillating between specific close ranges, but without a clear repetitive pattern that could hint at a seasonal effect. This indicates that this particular exchange rate might not be largely impacted by time-dependent factors, or the data period may not be long enough to exhibit the full seasonal fluctuation.

Outliers and Anomalies Observation

Outliers in exchange rate data usually present as sharp hikes or drops contrasting the general trend. In our dataset, significant anomalies are not readily observable. A minor drop can be noted around the timestamp '2024-04-22 06:25:02' where the rate drops marginally from 0.05348 to 0.05309. While this is noticeable within the context of this dataset, it's relatively small and can still be within common market fluctuation bounds. Therefore, it's arguable whether it qualifies as a genuine outlier.

In conclusion, the ZMW exchange rate within this dataset displays an overall declining trend and does not appear to follow a clear-cut seasonal pattern. The absence of significant outliers indicates a general stability in the exchange rate with only slight fluctuations within the observed timeframe.

Trend In an apparent phase of remarkable stability, Zambia''s local currency, the Zambian Kwacha (ZMW), has displayed mild fluctuations against other significant global currencies in the 24-hour span of 22nd April 2024. This development is noteworthy considering the unpredictable and highly volatile nature of the foreign exchange market. Starting with a rate of 0.0535 at the stroke of midnight and ending the day at 0.05308, the ZMW exchange rate underwent a marginal decline. However, this was punctuated with several pullbacks that kept the rate hovering around the same range. Notably, the highest rate recorded was at 15:20 and 20:05 at 0.05311, whereas the lowest rate declared throughout the day was 0.05298 at approaching 20:00. Analysts believe the consistency in the ZMW exchange rate could be pointing towards a resilient command of Zambia''s economic fundamentals, despite turbulent global financial conditions. Given that exchange rates are a significant reflection of a country''s economic health, a steady rate often indicates a sound macroeconomic environment. This steadiness might also be a result of effective monetary policies implemented by the Central Bank. It''s not uncommon for Central Banks to intervene in the foreign exchange market to maintain the currency’s stability. Intervention could entail buying or selling domestic currency, among other actions, to manage exchange rate levels. Despite the relative stability, there were mild oscillations during the day. Observers argue these could be a product of standard market demand-supply shifts stemming from international trade, investment, and speculation. The slight depreciation towards the end of the day could also be an aftermath of increased selling pressure by foreign currency holders. The stability of the ZMW exchange rate has several implications for Zambia and the global market. For importers and exporters, predictability of the exchange rate simplifies planning and reduces the risk associated with foreign currency transactions. It is also a comforting signal to foreign investors, reducing exchange rate risk and potentially encouraging more foreign direct investment into the country. Critical to note, however, is that exchange rates are influenced by many factors, some unpredictable. Some of these factors include inflation rates, interest rates, political stability, and economic performance. Thus, it would be overly ambitious to assume that this steadiness would continue indefinitely. Existing and prospective investors ought to keep an eye on developments in Zambia''s economic environment and global currency market trends, which could signify upcoming changes. Looking ahead, it will be interesting to watch the trajectory of the ZMW. The Central Bank''s next review of the monetary policy rate is an event that market participants will closely track. If the ZMW continues this stable trend, it could unlock significant opportunities for the Zambian economy, particularly in sectors like manufacturing and export trade.ZMW Exchange Rate Exhibits Minor Fluctuations in Stable Trend

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.