Tenge Forecast

Not for Invesment, Informational Purposes Only

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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    Introduction

    The dataset provided contains time-series data for the dates and corresponding exchange rates (in KZT). Upon evaluation of the dataset, certain key analyses were undertaken to understand the pattern better.

    Overall Trend Analysis

    Upon inspecting the dataset, it's observed that the exchange rate remains highly stable. The rate began at 0.00302 at the start of the day and saw an inconsequential decrease by the end of the day to close at 0.003. The rate had a maximum value of 0.00302 and a minimum value of 0.003, showing a minimal fluctuation over the course of the day.

    Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

    Upon analysis of the exchange rates over the course of a day, it doesn't seem to present a discernible pattern. The data does not show any regular interval or significant enough changes that would indicate seasonality or recurring patterns in the exchange rate. Hence, it is safe to say that the rates are quite stable and there aren't any specific recurring trends visible in this dataset.

    Outliers Analysis

    Considering the small range of fluctuations in the exchange rates with a maximum of 0.00302 and a minimum of 0.003, it can be concluded that there are no significant outliers in the dataset. The rates remained largely stable throughout the day.

    Conclusion

    The exchange rate provided in the dataset doesn't show any significant changes, indicating a stable market behavior without any discernible patterns or outliers. Please note, these observations are solely based on the raw data provided and do not consider external factors or events like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports.

Summary of Yesterday

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  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:
  • Trend

    Overall Trend Analysis

    The data provided indicates that the KZT exchange rate has varied over the given time period. That said, there is not a drastic change noticeable. The exchange rate has started out as 0.003 and eventually increased to 0.00302, indicating a slight increase over the observed period which could be attributed to normal fluctuations in currency values.

    Seasonality Analysis

    Looking at this specific dataset, there does not appear to be a clear seasonality or recurring pattern in the value of the exchange rate. It maintains a fairly constant value with minimal fluctuations. Without additional data, it's difficult to determine if this is due to the nature of the currency or the specific time frame chosen for this dataset.

    Outliers Analysis

    In the given dataset, there don't appear to be any significant outliers. Values of the exchange rate hover consistently between 0.003 and 0.00302. Any minor deviations are subtle and can be seen as part of normal market variation, rather than being recognized as significant outliers.

    Overall, determining the cause for the slight increase would require additional information and analysis outside the scope of the provided data. Other factors such as economic indicators, monetary policy changes, and international market conditions could all potentially influence fluctuations in exchange rates. The analysis undertaken here is purely based on time series data, without considering any external factors such as market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays or release of crucial financial news and reports.

Summary of Yesterday

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  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:
  • Trend

Summary of Last Month

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Statistical Measures

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    Data Preprocessing and Basic Observations

    Before diving into the analysis, let's first take a look at the structure of the data. The data is a time-series data, with two columns: 'timestamp' is a time field, and 'KZT' is an exchange rate. The data set contains data from '2024-02-26 00:00:02' to '2024-02-26 23:55:02'. The frequency of exchange rate records varies from every 5 minutes to a longer period.

    Understanding the Overall Trend

    The value for KZT ranges between 0.00299 and 0.00302. The KZT exchange rate mostly stays around 0.00299 and 0.00301, indicating relative stability. However, there are a few times during the data sample period that it reached 0.00302, suggesting that minor fluctuations exist.

    Identifying Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

    The exchange rate data doesn't noticeably seem to show a daily pattern or seasonality within the period of this single day. The fluctuations appear random rather than showing any cyclic or seasonal variation. Since the data only spans a single day, it is more challenging to identify whether larger cycles or seasonal trends exist, such as weekly or monthly patterns in the exchange rate.

    Outliers

    Based on the data provided, there are no significant outliers or anomalies. The exchange rate data for KZT remains within a tight range, and there are no obvious instances where the exchange rate significantly deviated from its general range between 0.00299 to 0.00302.

    The exchange rate for the entire day has gone back and forth within the confined range, suggesting relative steadiness without any sudden breaks or volatile moments.

    Conclusion

    In conclusion, this single-day exchange rate data of KZT reveals a generally stable exchange rate. The absence of significant outliers in the dataset supports the stability observation. While it doesn't show any clear daily pattern or seasonality on this one-day period, it might become apparent if the time-series data range was longer. Please note that while this analysis provides some insights into the behaviour of the exchange rate over this day, it does not consider external factors like market conditions, financial news, or other macroeconomic events that could significantly affect exchange rates outside of this one-day snapshot.

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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  • Trend

    Understanding the Overall Trend

    Upon reviewing the provided dataset, it is evident that the exchange rate of KZT has remained relatively stable within the period of the time series data. The values fluctuate between 0.00295 and 0.00303 repeatedly, which is a very minor fluctuation. Neither a significant increase nor decrease is observed. The rate seems to move within these boundaries without establishing a clear increasing or decreasing trend. This suggests that during this period, KZT exchange rate has been stably trading within this range.

    Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

    In regards to seasonality or recurring patterns, the data provided does not span over a long enough period for a reliable deduction of such trends. To accurately identify seasonality or cyclical trends, we need longer series of data (preferably covering multiple years) because exchange rates could be influenced by various cyclical economical factors which need a longer term of observation. Despite this, no clear recurring patterns within the observed timeframe are detected.

    Noting any Outliers

    As for outliers, given the narrow range of fluctuations, there are no significant instances where the exchange rate significantly deviates from the general trend. An outlier, in this case, would be a rate that significantly higher or lower than the 0.00295-0.00303 range, which does not appear in this dataset. This means that the rates during the period have been very consistent.

    Overall, the KZT exchange rate within this period demonstrated a relative stability with minor fluctuation, devoid of a distinctive trend, seasonality or outliers.

Summary of Yesterday

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  • Daily High:
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  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:
  • Trend

    Understanding of Overall Trends

    From what can be deduced on the surface, the exchange rate of KZT seems to undergo a slight decreasing trend over the period provided. The data begins with a rate of 0.003 and ends with a rate of 0.00299, which presents a subtle but noteworthy decrease. However, the rate remains relatively stable as there are miniscule fluctuations in the absolute difference, and any significant changes in exchange rate is absent.

    Identification of Seasonality or Reoccurring Patterns

    Discerning a definitive seasonality or recurring pattern presents a challenge with the data given. The rate fluctuates between 0.003, 0.00299, and 0.00298 throughout the time period but does not seem to follow a clearly identifiable pattern. While we can see some periods of temporary stability where the rate remains consistent, these periods are typically followed by small decreases or increases.

    Identification of Any Outliers

    Given the nature of the data provided, it is difficult to pinpoint any specific outliers. The exchange rates hover around the same values and exhibit minimal fluctuation. Therefore, the dataset does not seem to provide instances where the exchange rate differs significantly from what would be expected based on the trend.

    In Closing

    Despite its seeming lack of volatility, this dataset offers some insight into the stability of the KZT exchange rate over the given period. However, further analysis may be required to expect any concrete recurring patterns or anomalies. As stated, this analysis does not consider any external factors or events that may have impacted the exchange rate during this time period.

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:
  • Trend

    Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

    From the provided timestamps of exchange rates, we can see that the KZT exchange rate is somewhat stable overall. The exchange rate floats mainly around 0.00298 - 0.00299 during the whole period. Although there are some minute fluctuations within this range, there are no significant increases or decreases apparent, indicating the currency exchange rate has been quite stable over the observed time period.

    Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

    Given the details available in the dataset, and considering its time span, it appears there are no seasonal or recurring patterns present or noticeable daily trends during the provided timeframe. It's possible that a more extensive dataset is necessary to decipher such patterns, but according to the given data, there seems to be no remarkable exchange-rate behavior tied to a specific time of day or other repeating period.

    Outliers in the Exchange Rates

    Regarding outliers where the exchange rate significantly deviates from the trend, the dataset does not show a clear example of outliers. The KZT fluctuates minimally within a short range from 0.00297 to 0.003. Therefore, the observed variation is not significant enough to constitute an outlier. Again, it must be noted that the resultant lack of outliers is based on the provided data and may change with an extended set of data.