North Korean Won Forecast

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend

Based on an analysis of the given dataset, it can be observed that the exchange rate primarily remains stable at 0.00152 throughout the entire period. This consistency suggests a lack of noticeable upward or downward trends, indicating a stable currency exchange market for KPW during these timings. The uniformity of the exchange rate continues uniformly throughout different timestamps.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

Seasonality or recurring patterns are usually identifiable in time-series data when there are predictable and recurring fluctuations at regular intervals. In this case, however, due to the constant exchange rate of 0.00152 throughout the entire period, we cannot discern any clear seasonality trend or recurring patterns. The data does not exhibit any fluctuation that would suggest any seasonal variation or recurring pattern in the exchange rates.

Outliers

Concerning outliers or instances where the exchange rate differs significantly from the expected rate, the dataset provided does not show any clear anomalies. Quite the contrary, the exchange rate appears to be stable without any significant deviation from the norm throughout the timeframe captured by the dataset. Thus, there are no discernable outliers in this dataset.

It's important to note that this analysis is purely based on the dataset provided and does not consider external factors like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports, which could potentially impact exchange rates substantially.

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend in Exchange Rates

Based on the dataset provided, the exchange rates (KPW) have remained remarkably stable throughout the entire period shown, always hovering around the same value of 0.00152. It indicates that there are no significant long-term increases or decreases in KPW's exchange rates during this time.

Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

From the dataset, it is impossible to detect any clear seasonality or recurring patterns. The KPW exchange rate demonstrates a flat and stable trend, without noticeable fluctuations, which may suggest that the value is not significantly affected by seasonal factors.

Outliers in the Dataset

In the current dataset provided, there are virtually no outliers. The KPW exchange rate consistently stays at 0.00152 throughout, indicating that there have been no instances where the rate deviates significantly from this figure. This stringent stability suggests that there were no sudden shocks affecting the exchange rate during the specified period.

External Factors

Given the requirements to not consider specific events or the influence of external factors such as market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports, this analysis is limited to assessing the trend, seasonality, and outliers. It's worth noting that in real-world applications, these factors can significantly influence exchange rates and their impact would typically be reflected in a more dynamic dataset with greater variability.

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Overall Trend of Exchange Rates

Based on the provided data, we can see that the exchange rate (KPW) has remained constant at 0.00152 over the entire period. There are no instances where the rate increases or decreases. Based on this observation, it is safe to conclude that the exchange rate has remained completely stable without any sign of volatility.

2. Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Since the exchange rate has remained constant throughout the provided timeframe, there is no clear evidence of seasonality or recurring patterns. Normally, in the case of fluctuating rates, we could observe patterns such as daily, weekly, or monthly cycles, which might be influenced by factors like opening/closing hours of the market and financial news and events. However, such patterns don't surface in this dataset given the steadfast rate.

3. Outliers in the Exchange Rates

As there has been no variation in the exchange rate throughout the provided data, it follows that there are no outliers. An outlier would represent a significant deviation from the observed trend or pattern. Given that the rate is unwavering, any change would likely be considered an anomaly, but no such instances occur in this dataset.

Conclusion

Based on the analysis, the KPW exchange rate displayed unprecedented stability during the period represented in the dataset. There were no observable trends, patterns, or outliers in the data, suggesting that during this period, the exchange rate was not susceptible to typical market dynamics and remained unaltered.

Summary of Last Month

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Upon conducting a comprehensive analysis of the provided dataset, the following observations were made:

1. Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates:

The exchange rates between the timestamps provided in the dataset remained fairly stable throughout the period. From the provided set of data, there is no distinct increasing or decreasing pattern. The trade price fluctuated between 0.00152 and 0.00153. Hence, the stability of the exchange rate seems to be a characteristic pattern for this dataset.

2. Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns:

From the given dataset, there doesn't seem to be any strong sign of seasonality or recurring patterns in the exchange rates. The rates maintain around the same threshold throughout, indicating that there aren't any conspicuous cyclical fluctuations which could indicate a seasonal pattern. However, a deeper analysis using techniques like Fourier analysis could reveal more subtle cyclical patterns not immediately apparent from a broad overview. Nevertheless, based on the provided data, no such patterns emerge.

3. Noting any outliers or instances where the exchange rate differs:

Upon observation, the data does not contain any significant outliers or major deviations from the observed trend. All observations fall in a very narrow range between 0.00152 and 0.00153, showing a stable pattern without any surprising fluctuations or anomalies. Therefore, for this particular dataset and the specified time frame, it doesn't seem to contain any outliers.

It should be noted that due to the scope of the provided data (only consisting of the exchange rate and timestamp), the above analysis is purely based on the chronological movement and does not consider any external factors like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, political events, or the release of key financial news and reports that might have a significant impact on exchange rates.

Summary of Last Week

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

The data spans from March 22, 2024, to April 19, 2024. During this period, the provided exchange rate data for KPW is mostly stable with an initial minor decrease from 0.00151 on March 22, 2024, to 0.0015 from March 28, 2024, until April 9, 2024. On April 10, 2024, the rate increases back to 0.00152 and stays in that range till April 11, 2024, after which the rate sees a further increase to 0.00153 till April 15, 2024. From April 16, 2024, the rate increases again slightly to 0.00154 but drops back to 0.00153 by the end of the given timeframe on April 19, 2024. The changes in the exchange rates are seen to be very nominal and do not indicate a definitive increasing or decreasing trend. The overall range of change throughout the given period is 0.00003.

Seasonality or recurring patterns

No clear seasonality or recurring pattern about the changes in exchange rates can be elucidated from the given dataset. The data does not reveal any specific weekly or monthly effect, as the exchange rate essentially fluctuates between 0.0015 and 0.00154 throughout.

Outliers in the Dataset

The provided data does not signal the presence of significant outliers. The exchange rate movement is quite uniform, exhibiting only slight increases and decreases. Consequently, all values lie within a very narrow band (0.0015 to 0.00154), and none of the observations deviate drastically from the general trend.

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend Analysis

The given data set shows the exchange rates (KPW) for an interval across various dates and times. First, an observation of the given data suggests that the exchange rates, for the most part, remain constant with a rate of 0.00153. However, there are several instances where the rate slightly increases to 0.00154, contributing to small fluctuations in the data. The occurrence of these fluctuations suggest there is no overall increase or decrease trend in the dataset. Instead, the exchange rates mainly hold steady at 0.00153, with minor increases to 0.00154.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

Regarding seasonality, while the data is time series data, it does not reveal any clear seasonal or recurring patterns. The fluctuations from 0.00153 to 0.00154 seem to occur at random intervals, rather than recurring at specific periods.

Identification of Outliers

Considering the given dataset, there appear to be no apparent outliers. The rates fluctuate between 0.00153 and 0.00154, and do not fall outside this narrow range. However, if any rate deviates from these two figures, it could be considered an outlier. Based on this dataset, though, such deviations do not exist.

External Factors

It has been noted not to take into account any external factors, such as market operating times, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports. Therefore, this analysis solely extracts observations based on raw data, identifying no significant overall trend, no clear seasonality or recurring patterns, and no visible outliers.

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis of KPW Exchange Rate Dataset:

The given dataset consists of the time series data for KPW exchange rates recorded at various timestamp intervals. My analysis includes understanding the general trend, identifying recurring patterns, and spotting outliers in the given data. However, as per your instructions, the effects of external factors such as market open/close hours, weekends/holidays, and critical financial news events were not taken into account.

1. Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates:

It is evident from analyzing the dataset that the KPW exchange rate remains stable throughout the provided timestamps, with a constant rate value of 0.00153. There are no instances of the rate increasing or decreasing, representing a flat trend in the exchange rate during the examined periods.

2. Seasonality and Recurring Patterns:

Given the constant exchange rate throughout the provided data, there is no discernible seasonality or recurring patterns present. The KPW exchange rate remains the same at all times, indicating no cyclical changes or regular pattern.

3. Outliers & Unexpected Observations:

As for outliers, there is nothing that stands out as the exchange rate has remained consistent throughout. The data shows a complete lack of volatility, meaning there are no unexpected instances of higher or lower exchange rates when compared to the overall trend.

In conclusion, it is essential to note that the lack of variability in the exchange rate could signify a regulated or fixed-exchange-rate regime during the period covered by this data. However, such conclusions would require further historical and contextual information about the KPW currency's broader economic and monetary policy backdrop.