Rupiah Forecast

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Upon analyzing the provided dataset, it can be clearly observed that the exchange rate (IDR) for the given period appears to remain constant. This observation is based on the dataset provided which outlines the IDR exchange rate over a range of different timestamps. It's important to note that the results and analysis of this data is firmly depending upon the data provided, and doesn't take into account any external or real world factors.

1. Understanding the Overall Trend

The overall trend of the exchange rate seems to maintain stability. The rate of IDR is 8.0E-5 throughout the given period, with no rise or fall at any time point. This suggests that during this assessed period, the economic conditions governing this exchange rate were likely stable.

2. Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Given the exchange rate remains constant at every timestamp, there is no discernible seasonality or pattern. Typically, a time series data set that displays swings or fluctuations could suggest seasonal or recurring patterns. However, in this dataset, since the IDR rate doesn't change, it isn't feasible to identify or discern any such patterns.

3. Outliers in the Data

An outlier in a dataset is a data point that significantly deviates from other observations. In this dataset, no such outliers exist. All values for the IDR rate remain constant at the 8.0E-5 mark. Therefore, there are no instances where the exchange rate appears unusual or significantly differing from the general trend.

This information, however, should be used with caution in decision-making processes, given the observed stability of the exchange rate in the dataset could be the result of various factors not taken into account in the analysis. These factors may include the lack of variability in the data set provided, missing significant world events, or effects of the global economy.

Summary of Yesterday

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• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
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• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

Based on the data provided, the exchange rate over the timestamp given appears to stay consistent at 8.0E-5. No notable increase, decrease, or significant fluctuations are observed for this particular dataset over the entire range of timestamps. Without deviations in the dataset, it's safe to say that the exchange rate is stable.

Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

As the exchange rate of IDR remains constant throughout the provided time series data, there does not appear to be any evident seasonality or recurring patterns in this dataset.

Manifestation of Any Outliers

Since the IDR exchange rate stays consistently steady at 8.0E-5 across the dataset, there are apparently no instances or periods at which the exchange rate deviates significantly from the norm. In other words, there is an absence of outliers in this dataset.

Please note, as per the request, this analysis does not factor in any potential influence from external events or factors such as market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports.

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis of IDR Exchange Rate Time Series Data

Based on the data provided, the following comprehensive analysis was executed:

1. Understanding the Overall Trend in the Exchange Rates.

The IDR exchange rate, as presented in the time series data, has been stable throughout the dataset shown. The rate appears to be constant at 8.0E-5, showing no signs of increasing or decreasing over the period of observation.

2. Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Due to the constant exchange rate value, there's no discernible seasonality or recurring patterns in the IDR exchange rate changes. This means that the exchange rate does not follow any predictable or cyclical pattern within the given time frame.

3. Noting Any Outliers

Since the exchange rates remain constant throughout, there are no apparent outliers. An outlier would be considered if a value significantly deviated from the constant value of 8.0E-5, but none such cases exist in the provided data.

Thus, the IDR exchange rate, with respect to the provided dataset, can be classified as a constant series devoid of any measurable trend, seasonality or outliers.

Summary of Last Month

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Overall Trend Analysis

Upon an observation of the dataset, it does not appear that there are any noticeable fluctuations in the exchange rates data. The data supplied for the IDR exchange rate is flatlined at 8.0E-5 across all the timestamps. Consequently, the exchange rate is stable and does not show any increase or decrease but has remained constant over the entire period examined.

Identification of Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

Given the constant rate in the dataset, identifying seasonal trends or recurring patterns isn't feasible. There are no discernable modifications at certain times of the day, days of the week, or particular times of the year since the exchange rate remains unchanged at 8.0E-5 across all the timestamps. Thus, we cannot identify any seasonality or recurring patterns.

Anomaly Identification

Since every single data point in the dataset is equal and consistent (8.0E-5), there are no deviations from the constant trend. As a result, there are no data points that can be considered as outliers in this data series.

While this analysis provides insights based on the provided data, these observations may not represent the true nature of the exchange rate because exchange rates often subjects to fluctuations due to various economic, political, and unexpected global events. So, it would be beneficial to use a more wide-ranging dataset over an extended period for a detailed analysis.

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Overall Trend of Exchange Rates

Observing the provided data for the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) exchange rate over several timestamps, it's apparent that the rate experiences minor fluctuations, but remains remarkably stable overall.

Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Upon careful examination, no clear seasonal or recurring patterns in the fluctuations of the exchange rates can be discerned within the given dataset. The rates exhibit minor fluctuations, but no consistent or repetitive pattern emerges. However, a much more extensive and long term dataset would be required to accurately determine any potential seasonal trends, as these would typically manifest over extended periods of time.

Identification of Outliers

The dataset does not show any significant outliers where the exchange rate differs widely from the general trend. There are two noticeable drops to 8.0E-5, but these recover back to 9.0E-5 shortly afterwards, aligning again with the consistent fluctuations observed throughout the rest of the dataset. As such, these two instances do not represent significant deviations from the general trend.

External Factors

As per the request, the analysis has not taken into consideration any external factors like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports. This analysis is purely based on the data given. However, in real-world scenarios, these factors certainly do have notable impacts on financial market trends including exchange rates.

Lastly, no forecast for future rates is provided in accordance with the request. This analysis focuses only on examining and interpreting the data provided.

In conclusion, the IDR exchange rate has been relatively stable with minor fluctuations within the range of 8.0E-5 to 9.0E-5. No clear seasonality or recurring patterns have been identified. However, only a comprehensive analysis over a more extended period may reveal more in-depth trends and patterns.

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Understanding the Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

Upon analyzing the data, it is evident that the IDR exchange rate ranges between 8.0E-5 and 9.0E-5 throughout the period. The exchange rates predominantly maintain a steady state, alternating between these two values at different times. Thus, we can conclude that there is no significant increasing or decreasing trend in the exchange rates for the duration under study.

2. Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

When considering the recurring patterns or seasonality, the dataset does not show a clear daily or hourly pattern. The exchange rate swings between 8.0E-5 and 9.0E-5 seemingly randomly. As such, it is difficult to state definitively that there is a recurring pattern or seasonality with the data provided. This might vary if we had data for a more extended period or further granularity.

3. Noting Outliers

Given the consistency of the exchange rates between the two values (8.0E-5 and 9.0E-5), no apparent outliers can be identified from this data. An outlier in this context would be a value that significantly deviates from these two data points. Since all the provided exchange rates fall within these two categories, we can conclude that there are no significant deviations or outliers in this dataset.

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis of the IDR Exchange Rates

Based on the dataset provided, it can be observed that the IDR exchange rate for every timestamp is constant at 8.0E-5. This implies a stable exchange rate throughout the time period captured in the data. Now, let's delve into more detailed analysis based on the specific objectives.

Overall trend of the exchange rates

Given that the IDR exchange rates provided in the dataset are consistently at 8.0E-5 throughout the timeline, it indicates a stable trend. There is no increase or decrease in the rates over the period shown in this data.

Seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates

With regard to seasonality or recurring patterns, since the exchange rate is the same throughout the entire timeline provided, there are no visible patterns or periodic fluctuations that can be identified. The rate remains constant irrespective of the date and time.

Outliers in the data

In terms of outliers, there are none in this dataset. An outlier would be a significant deviation from the established level of 8.0E-5 but since all exchange rates given are equal to this value, there are no such instances in the data.

In conclusion, the dataset indicates a consistently stable IDR exchange rate without any fluctuation or noticeable anomalies.