Gourde Forecast

Not for Invesment, Informational Purposes Only

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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    1. Overall trend:

    Upon analyzing the data, it is apparent that the exchange rate (HTG) appears to be relatively stable over the given period. It starts at 0.01023 and ends up at 0.01022, with very small fluctuations detected but no significant ups and downs. The maximum rate is 0.01025 while the minimum is 0.01021, indicating a narrow range of variation. Therefore, the overall trend can be described as steady with minor fluctuations.

    2. Seasonality or recurring patterns:

    Due to the nature of this dataset and the relatively tight timeframe with similar data points at consistent intervals, there is no clear seasonality or recurring patterns seen in the changes of exchange rates. There might be minute changes occurring over the different time intervals, but these changes are not significant enough to construct a pattern.

    3. Outliers:

    Given the tight range in which the exchange rate fluctuates (between 0.01021 and 0.01025), there don’t appear to be any significant outliers in the dataset. All the observed rates seem to align with the general trends, and no exchange rate deviates substantially from the trend or average rates.

    In conclusion, HTG exchange rates exhibit a relatively stable trend throughout the specified period, with minor, insignificant fluctuations. This stability implies that the economic conditions impacting these rates remained relatively constant and steady during this time frame.

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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    Overview of Overall Exchange Rate Trends

    The provided dataset consists of timestamps and corresponding exchange rates in HTG. From the data, it can be clearly observed that the exchange rates have generally been stable over the time period shown. The rate began at 0.01019 on 2024-02-28 00:00:02, and ended at 0.01022 on 2024-02-28 23:55:02. There have been minor fluctuations, yet these changes have been very small suggesting a largely stable exchange rate.

    Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

    Due to the constraints of the dataset (single day, near constant exchange rate), no seasonality or recurring patterns can be discerned. Longer term historical data would be needed to establish whether there are hourly, daily, weekly, or monthly patterns in the movement of the exchange rate. The slight fluctuations in the data do not form a discernible pattern, they may just represent the inherent variability or 'noise' present in most financial time series data.

    Outliers Analysis

    Identifying outliers in exchange rate data can provide valuable insight into unusual market activity. However, in the provided dataset, there does not appear to be significant deviations from the overall trend that could be considered as outliers. The range of the data, between 0.01019 and 0.01025, is very tight with minimal variability. This suggests a relatively stable and consistent exchange rate over the course of the day. Therefore, no clear outliers can be identified based on the provided data.

    In conclusion, the provided data suggests a highly stable exchange rate for HTG during this specific day. There are no clear patterns, seasonality or outliers. For more robust analysis, more data spanning over a longer duration should be considered.

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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Summary of Last Month

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Statistical Measures

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    Overall Trend Analysis

    The overall trend of the exchange rates shows a relatively stable pattern. From the provided sample, the rate hovered between 0.01017 and 0.01019. Although there were slight variations within this range, no significant change in the rate was observed. Generally, it can be said that the currency remained relatively stable during the time period analyzed.

    Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

    In terms of seasonality and recurring patterns, the data sample provided does not show any clear-cut pattern. The rates are floating within a very tight band, with no distinct recurring spikes or dips that would suggest the existence of a pattern connected to specific times of the day or specific periods. Further analysis on a larger dataset might be needed to determine any recurring patterns.

    Outliers Detection

    Given the narrow spread of exchange rates in the dataset, it's reasonable to say that there are no noticeable outliers. The rates remained well within the 0.01017 to 0.01019 range, and no individual data points significantly diverged from this trend. The absence of outliers suggests that the rate was fairly consistent, with no unexpected shocks or disturbances during the analyzed period.

    Please note, this analysis was purely based on the provided numerical data and didn't include external market influences or events that may have impacted the currency exchange rate.

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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    1. Understanding the Overall Trend

    From the period between 2024-01-26 and 2024-02-23, the overall trend of the HTG exchange rates experienced minor fluctuations, ranging between a value of 0.01015 and 0.01031. It can be noted that the highest recorded exchange rate was 0.01031 on 2024-02-13 at 14:00:02 while the lowest recorded exchange rate was 0.01015 on 2024-02-23 at 02:00:02. While the exchange rate saw several slight ups and downs within this period, the change was not significant enough to decidedly indicate a general increase or decrease over time. Therefore, it can be inferred that the HTG exchange rates remained relatively stable throughout this data period.

    2. Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

    Upon analyzing the data, no clear seasonality or recurring pattern in the exchange rates could be identified. The fluctuations in the rates seem to occur sporadically without any observable cyclical pattern. This indicates that the changes in the exchange rates may be subject to various unpredictable factors, which makes it challenging to track any consistent seasonal or recurring trends over this data period.

    3. Noting Any Outliers

    Throughout the given period, there were no substantial outliers or instances where the exchange rate differed significantly from the surrounding data points. All values of the exchange rate remain closely positioned around the 0.01015 to 0.01031 range. Thus, based on the provided data, there was no instance where the exchange rate deviated notably from the expected trend or presented any significant anomalies.

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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    Overall Trend of Exchange Rates

    The exchange rate provided is generally stable, fluctuating slightly around 0.0102, which is probably its average value. There are minor oscillations above and below this value, but they return to it most of the time, and no sustained upward or downward trend is noticed for the period observed.

    Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

    The data provided is not sufficient to determine actual seasonality or recurring patterns. However, considering the range of dates given, it appears there are no noticeable daily or weekly patterns to the changes in the exchange rate. If a cycle existed, it might require more time or further data for proper identification.

    Outliers Detection

    Analyzed data does not display any significant outliers, which is an instance where the exchange rate differs significantly from the mean. All selected values hover around the 0.0102 average, with minor deviations not large enough to be defined as outliers in this context.

    Additional Factors for Consideration

    Even though the analysis does not require it, considering additional factors like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of crucial financial news and reports can offer deeper insight into the data's behavior. These factors frequently contribute to fluctuation in exchange rates and are worth considering for a more comprehensive analysis.

    In summary, the HTG exchange rate for the period provided has a stable behavior, with no significant outliers observed. The existence of seasonality or recurring patterns is not conclusive and might need further data and analysis.

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:
  • Trend

    1. Understanding the Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

    Upon analyzing the given dataset, it appears that the exchange rate of HTG has remained relatively stable over the period observed. There were only minor fluctuations in the values, ranging from 0.01015 to 0.01019. The rate started at 0.01015, then slightly increased to 0.01019, and then returned again to 0.01015. Therefore, no significant increase or decrease trend can be identified within this specific period.

    2. Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

    No explicit seasonality or recurring patterns can be identified based solely on this dataset. The data would need to be observed across multiple comparable periods to establish the existence of such patterns. However, regular fluctuations every 5-10 minutes can be seen, which might be a common occurrence in such types of data and doesn't necessarily indicate a pattern.

    3. Noting Any Outliers

    Given the data, no significant outliers can be spotted. The exchange rate remained closely around the range of 0.01015 and 0.01019 without any large deviations. Thus, all changes seem to remain within what would be expected based on the trend identified earlier. Furthermore, the changes in HTG rates were quite consistent, reflecting a very balanced distribution of values around the overall mean rate for the entire dataset.