CFP Franc Forecast

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
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• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

From the provided dataset, it is observed that the overall trend of the XPF exchange rate remains quite stable between the range of 0.01219 - 0.01225 throughout the entire period. Minor fluctuations are present, but they don't indicate any significant increase or decrease trend over the observed period. It's worth noting that since these fluctuations are small, it indicates a relatively stable currency exchange rate period.

2. Seasonality and Recurring Patterns in Exchange Rates

No clear seasonality or time-specific recurring patterns can be observed from this dataset. The exchange rate does not exhibit any repeated trend at specific intervals of the day or between different days. Given the stable nature of the exchange rate during this period, this is anticipated.

3. Outliers in the Data

From the given dataset, no apparent outliers can be identified. The exchange rate stays within a quite narrow range. This shows a low volatility period for the XPF exchange rate, which might be influenced by several economic factors such as economic stability, low inflation rate, and confidence in the market.

It is important to note that any potential outliers or unexpected fluctuations would require further contextual investigation to determine their cause, such as macroeconomic events or significant financial news announcements. However, since our goal precludes the consideration of external factors, this aspect is not explored in this analysis.

This analysis solely based on the provided dataset and does not take into account any external market factors or future projections of the exchange rate, adhering to the stated goals.

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend Analysis

Upon reviewing the given dataset, it appears that the XPF exchange rate remained fairly stable throughout the given timespan. There is a slight upward trend from the starting value at 0.01215 to the peak at 0.01224, which then drops back down to a stable level of approximately 0.01222 later in the dataset. Nonetheless, these changes are minimal, with a maximum deviation of 0.00009 from the initial value, indicating that the overall trend of the XPF exchange rate can be considered as relatively stable within the given timeframe.

Seasonality & Recurring Pattern

It is difficult to make a solid conclusion about a specific recurrent pattern or seasonality within this dataset. The exchange rate fluctuations are minute and do not clearly follow a discernible pattern. Therefore, from the provided dataset, it can be concluded that there aren't any noticeable recurring patterns or seasonality observed in the exchange data.

Identification of Outliers

Based on the given data, there are no significant outliers - instances where the XPF exchange rate deviates significantly from the general trend. The rate fluctuates between a minimum of 0.01214 and a maximum of 0.01224. This indicates that the XPF exchange rate is fairly stable and no single observation deviates from this stability enough to be considered an outlier.

In conclusion, the provided dataset shows a relatively stable trend of the XPF exchange rate within the given timeframe. There isn't any noticeable pattern or seasonality, and no significant outliers are found in the data.

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Financial Data Analysis

Overall Trend

Given that 97% of the XPF exchange rates in this dataset are between 0.01214 and 0.01219, the data seems quite stable. The rate rarely deviates from this interval. There appears to be a very slight fluctuation in the data to be a decline from 0.01219 towards 0.01214. However, considering the low range, we could say the overall exchange rate remains relatively stable throughout the period shown. The minimum exchange rate in the series is 0.01214 and the maximum exchange rate is 0.01219.

Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

The data does not provide sufficient variation to confidently postulate about seasonality or recurring patterns within the single day it represents. However, certain times do show increased levels of volatility, although these are minor variations and might not represent a significant recurring pattern. More data over multiple periods would be needed to determine seasonal patterns.

Outliers

In this dataset, there doesn't seem to be significant outliers. The data remains close to the mean (0.01217) for the most part, and no instances are observed where the exchange rate differs significantly from the expected based on the trend. Any minor variations that do occur are likely a result of the normal fluctuations in exchange rates, and do not represent significant anomalies.

Although, it is important to note that to conduct a detailed financial time-series analysis, long periods of data (at least a few years) are usually needed in order to capture inherent characteristics such as trend, seasonality, and to confirm hypotheses about the stability and consistency of data patterns.

Summary of Last Month

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Overall Trend Analysis

The exchange rate data for XPF has shown minute fluctuations over the entire period. The exchange rate starts at 0.01221 and experiences slight variations throughout the data set. However, towards the end of the data, we observe the exchange rate to settle at 0.01218, showing a slight decrease over the whole period. But, the shift is not major, and hence, we can conclude that generally, the exchange rate has remained fairly stable over the period.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

From the provided time-series data, it is challenging to identify clear signs of seasonality or recurring patterns due to the uniformity of the exchange rates in the given time window. The exchange rate varies minutely between 0.01219 and 0.01222 and does not show any clear up or down patterns that could be tied to a particular time of the day or week. This could be due to the relatively short period that the data covers.

Outliers

An analysis of the given time-series data does not indicate any significant outliers or deviations from the typical range. The exchange rate largely stays within the narrow range of 0.01217 to 0.01223 throughout the representation. The minute fluctuation within this range does not indicate any notable outliers that significantly deviate from the trend.

In conclusion, this analysis of the XPF exchange rate over the provided period shows a stable trend, with no clear signs of seasonality or outliers. This consistency could be influenced by various factors beyond the scope of this analysis. Therefore, it would be beneficial to consider a longer data set and integrate other contributing factors for a more detailed understanding.

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

1. Overall Trend Analysis

Following an analysis of the given data set from 22nd March 2024 to 19th April 2024, the overall trend observed in the exchange rates for this period is relatively stable. The exchange rate of XPF appears to be within the range of 0.01209 and 0.01243, and no notable overall increasing or decreasing trend can be detected within this period.

2. Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

From the data provided, there doesn't appear to be any clear evidence of seasonality or recurring patterns as the exchange rate remains relatively stable throughout the month period. However, there are certain fluctuations which could be attributed to plain market variability or other factors that were not accounted for in this analysis as per the instruction.

3. Noting any outliers

In terms of outliers within this dataset, it is crucial to note that no clear outliers have been identified in this analysis. All of the exchange rates lie within similar ranges, and no instances were found where the exchange rate differed significantly from the average pattern.

Conclusion

In conclusion, no significant trend, seasonality or outliers were observed in the XPF exchange rate data over the specified period. However, this doesn't necessarily mean these factors are entirely non-present. More in-depth analyses and longer data series may enable patterns to be more easily observable.

Disclaimer

Please note that this analysis has been conducted with assumptions as directed: without the influence of any specific external factor like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports. Thus, for business or financial decisions, more thorough analyses with extended data and consideration of these factors are recommended.

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

Data Analysis

The provided dataset contains hourly snapshots of exchange rates (XPF) across a few days in April 2024.

1. Understanding the Overall Trend

The exchange rate begins at 0.01223 and ends at 0.01222. Looking closely at changes in the rates, it can be seen that there are subtle variations throughout the period. The rate decreases slightly from 0.01223 to 0.01222 over the first day, then sees a gradual increase to 0.01228, and then goes up further to 0.01239. After that, there is a gradual downtrend to 0.01234, then it decreases to 0.01232. After some ups and downs, it eventually settles at 0.01222 by the end. This indicates that there is no major increase or decrease in the exchange rates during the time period. The rates fluctuate within a very tight range of 0.01220 to 0.01243.

2. Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

• The dataset showcases no evident patterns in terms of specific hourly trends. The peaks and dips in exchange rates do not seem to occur at the same hours each day but are rather spread across different hours.
• There is no particular period with a significantly consistent increase or decrease within a single day, suggesting no intraday seasonality.
• Furthermore, no consistent daily patterns are observed over separate days. The data spans across consecutive days within a month, and no discernible trend is noticeable that indicates any consistent increases or decreases happening on specific or recurring days of this period.

3. Outliers or Unusual Occurrences

The highest exchange rate is registered at 0.01243 and the lowest at 0.01220. The outliers in this dataset are the data points that reached these extreme values. These outliers do not differ significantly from the average of the rates and hence might not signify any major event or abnormality.

Note: Inherent nature of the forex market can lead to these small fluctuations, and these should not always be seen as a significant event, considering the minuscule range these fluctuations are operating within.

Summary of Yesterday

• Opening:
• Closing:
• Difference of Opening & Closing:
• Daily High:
• Daily Low:
• Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

• Mean:
• Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Overall Trend of Exchange Rates

The overall trend over this given dataset shows that the exchange rates remain relatively stable. It fluctuates between 0.01220 - 0.01225. There is a slight increase in the exchange rate on 2024-04-19 around 01:05:02 and it sustained till 01:40:02. Later, the exchange rate started decreasing and reached its minimum at 02:55:02. Since then the exchange rate started playing around a value of 0.01222 until the end of the series at 14:55:01.

2. Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Upon inspecting the data, there wasn't any discernible recurring or seasonal pattern found in the dataset. The fluctuation between 0.01220 and 0.01225 appears to be random throughout the given timestamps, without any specific cycle. Further analysis with more data points is required to identify any potential hidden patterns or trends.

3. Outliers in the Data

No significant outliers were noted in the dataset. The exchange rates, though fluctuating, remained within a very narrow band and didn't deviate significantly from the mean in any instance. Therefore, no particular instances had exchange rates that differed significantly from the expectation based on the established trend.

Note: This analysis is purely based on the historical numerical data provided. External factors such as market conditions, geopolitical events, or economic reports were not considered as per instruction.