Yen Forecast

Not for Invesment, Informational Purposes Only

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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    Overall Trend Analysis

    From a quick glance at the dataset provided, it appears that the exchange rate has remained fairly stable over time. The range of exchange rates typically lies between 0.00902 and 0.00907. There is no obvious general increase or decrease trend in the rate. The fluctuations in the rate within the given timeframe are relatively minor.

    Seasonality/Recurrent Patterns

    Time series data can often reveal patterns or trends that occur on a regular basis, known as seasonality. As per data provided, it's tough to find any definitive seasonality or recurring patterns in this dataset due to the very slight fluctuation in exchange rate. To identify seasonality, larger gradients of the values over an extended period would better indicate any seasonal trends. However, given the data provided, any recurring pattern in the exchange rate is not easily identifiable.

    Outliers

    An outlier is a data point which deviates significantly from the other observations. It could provide valuable information about the phenomena under investigation or could be caused by an error. In the time series provided, as the variation in the exchange rate is so minute, it can be concluded that there are no significant outliers in the data. This signifies that there are no instances where the exchange rate differs significantly from what would be expected based on the trend or seasonality.

    Notes

    • The data available is in a very narrow range of exchange rates, so it's hard to derive any significant changes or trends.
    • Please note that this analysis is purely based on the numerical data provided and does not take into account any outside factors such as market conditions, political events, or economic news which might have impacted on these rates.
    • If you want to have a more varied and informative dataset, it's recommended to include a wider range of data points and possibly other relevant factors that could impact the exchange rate.

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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  • Standard Deviation:
  • Trend

    Overall Trend Analysis

    From the dataset, it can be ascertained that the exchange rates have a minor fluctuation trend. In general, the exchange rate starts at around 0.009, drops slightly to about 0.00899 before rising again to roughly 0.00906, hence indicating a rather stable trend with some periods of modest increases.

    Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

    Our analysis does not directly indicate any clear-cut seasonality or recurring patterns in the data since the time span of the data is too short to analyze seasonal trends thoroughly. But some minor fluctuations are repeated almost every hour to some extent. However, these are very slight recurring changes and do not indicate any significant seasonality.

    Identification of Possible Outliers

    The data set shows a very stable exchange rate trend, and there are several instances where exchange rates have dropped or increased slightly. However, these fluctuations are minuscule, and they remain within the general trend of the data set. Thus, based on the provided data, there aren't any apparent outliers, or instances where the exchange rate differs significantly from the overall trend.

    Conclusion

    To summarize, the data indicates a minor fluctuation trend in the exchange rates with modest increases and decreases over the period shown. No significant seasonality or recurring patterns can be discerned from the data, and there are no apparent outliers in the analysis. The data remains relatively stable throughout the period presented. As suggested, no specific external factors were considered in the analysis.

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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Summary of Last Month

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Statistical Measures

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    Overall Trend Analysis

    Upon examining the dataset, it can be observed that the exchange rate (JPY) is relatively stable over the course of time. It starts at a value of 0.00898 and ends slightly lower at 0.00897, with tiny fluctuations in between. Temporarily, the rate increases to 0.00899 in the 02:00 hours but returns back down and the rate remains mostly stable going forward. This indicates a marginally depreciating trend in the exchange rate over the time series provided.

    Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

    In terms of seasonality or recurring patterns, no clear discernable pattern could be determined from the provided data points. The exchange rate does not demonstrate any significant variations that could be related to a specific recurring time or event. It remains mostly stable, except for small fluctuations as noted.

    Outliers Detection

    The data does not seem to have any significant outliers. All the values are pretty close to one another, signifying that there's no instant where the exchange rate differs substantially. Therefore, the values of exchange rate in this dataset are largely consistent.

    Overall Summary

    The exchange rate trend for JPY appears to be generally steady with slight depreciation over the time span provided in the dataset. We see minor fluctuations during this period but it doesn't seem to be associated with a recurrent pattern or cycle. Also, no prominent outliers were found in the data.

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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    1. Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

    Upon examining the given dataset, the general trend for this period suggests that the exchange rates fluctuate within a range with a slight decline. The rate starts at 0.00912, reaches a peak at 0.00917, and ends at 0.00897. This range of change is not vast, indicating the rates did not undergo a massive surge or dip during the period. This pattern might signal a stable market condition for the JPY currency.

    2. Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

    The time series data does not demonstrate clear seasonality or recurring patterns within the stipulated period. The rates appear to shift slightly up and down with no discernable cyclical pattern. This lack of trend, however, may be due to the short term nature of the dataset, as currency exchange rates can sometimes have patterns that manifest over more extended periods.

    3. Identification of Outliers

    An outlier in this context could be understood as a significant deviation from the observed range. Given the data, the JPY exchange rates do not show any significant outliers. All the rates lie tightly around the same range (0.00917 - 0.00895). Although minor fluctuations occur, they are relatively insignificant and remain within the approximate trading range established early on. This close range consistency may signify relatively low volatility in this currency exchange rate for the specified period.

    Please note that this analysis did not take into account external factors such as market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports. Including such information might give a more detailed understanding of the trends and patterns observed.

Summary of Yesterday

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  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:
  • Trend

    1. Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

    Looking at the provided data, it appears that the exchange rate of JPY had minor fluctuations but remained relatively stable. The rate began at 0.00898 on 2024-02-19 01:00:02, dipped and peaked occasionally with very small margins, and ended at 0.00897 on 2024-02-23 14:00:01. Though such minor fluctuations are common in currency exchange, the overall valuation of JPY against the compared currency did not show any apparent increasing or decreasing trend within the provided period.

    2. Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

    Regarding seasonality or recurring patterns, it seems that within the period that the dataset covers, no clear cyclic pattern was observed. The fluctuations in the exchange rate appear to be random and without significant, consistent period-based increases or decreases. However, to confirm this, further data and more extended period study would be beneficial since exchange rate seasonality often tend to be over longer periods.

    3. Outliers

    No significant outliers were detected in this dataset. A noteworthy observation from the data is that on 2024-02-20 at around 09:00:04, the exchange rate peaked at 0.00902. This was the maximum rate within the provided dataset, though it can't be considered as an outlier since it is not notably remote from the majority of the observations. Similarly, the minimum exchange rate observed was 0.00895 on 2024-02-22 23:00:02, again, not drastically different from other observations to be considered an outlier. Outliers in such a dataset would be values that differ significantly from the overall trend, which were not observed in this dataset.

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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  • Trend

    Overall Trend of Exchange Rates

    Analyzing the dataset, the exchange rates fluctuate within a very narrow range from 0.00895 to 0.00899 during the covered period. There's no strong, consistent trend of the rates over time in terms of increases, decreases, or remaining stable. The exchange rate appears to remain relatively stable with minor oscillations.

    Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

    Seasonality generally refers to regular and predictable changes that recur every calendar year. Any predictable fluctuation or pattern that recurs or repeats over one-year is considered seasonality. Analyzing the data on a higher timeframe (e.g. hours, days) might reveal certain patterns or seasonality. However, based on the dataset provided, no clear seasonal or recurring pattern can be identified. The changes in the exchange rates show random fluctuation rather than a repetitive or predictable pattern.

    Outliers

    In this case, outliers would be values that are conspicuously different from most other values in the dataset. From the dataset, there are no significant outliers present. The exchange rate remains within a very tight range from 0.00895 to 0.00899, with no values significantly deviating from this range.

    This preliminary analysis implies a steady state of the exchange rate over the observed period. Nonetheless, financial markets are complex and driven by various factors. More detailed analysis covering an extended timeframe, considering more influencing factors, and applying more complex financial analysis techniques, could provide deeper insights.