Riel Forecast

Not for Invesment, Informational Purposes Only

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

1. Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates:

Based on the data provided, the KHR exchange rate appears remarkably stable. Every recorded value from beginning on 2024-04-25 00:00:02, to the end at 2024-04-25 23:55:02 is consistently 0.00034. This indicates that there were no fluctuations in the exchange rate within the observed period. A such stable rate over this significant timespan is something you don't generally see in foreign exchange markets. Therefore, the overall trend can be defined as largely static, with no marked increase, decrease or variability in exchange rates within the given timespan.

2. Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates:

Due to the completely stable nature of this dataset, identifying a specific seasonal pattern or repetitive element is not applicable. As noted, the dataset consistently reads at 0.00034 at all various timestamps, exhibiting no change that might suggest a pattern or rhythm over certain hours, days or weeks.

3. Noting any outliers:

Given that every data point in the dataset is precisely the same, there are no outliers. All entries fall on exactly 0.00034, with no significant deviations or abnormalities that would suggest the presence of an outlier. The dataset is completely uniform in the observed period.

This overall consistency, lack of variability, and absence of outliers in this dataset is unusual for a currency exchange rate which is typically influenced by a number of factors such as economic indicators, geopolitical events, and market sentiment, causing them to rise and fall continuously over time.

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Overall Trend Analysis

Given the provided dataset, the KHR exchange rate has remained constant throughout the entire timeframe at 0.00034. There is no observable upward or downward trend within this dataset.

Seasonality and Recurring Pattern Analysis

Since the exchange rates have remained steady throughout the entire data set, there doesn't seem to be any notable seasonality or recurring patterns in the data. In time-series data, we typically look for patterns or cycles that repeat over a specific period, such as daily or annually, but given that the exchange rate does not change at any point in this data set, there are none to be identified.

Outliers Analysis

Considering the consistency of the exchange rate (0.00034) in the data provided, there are no outliers. An outlier would be a data point that vastly differs from the majority of the dataset, but since the KHR exchange rate is the same throughout, there are no divergent values to be noted.

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Overall Trend of the Exchange Rate

Upon analyzing the dataset, it's observed that the exchange rate of KHR has remained stable throughout the entire period. This stability is evident as the rate has been consistently recorded at 0.00034 without any variation.

Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

In terms of seasonality or recurring patterns, it is challenging to identify any such pattern due to the constant exchange rate over the period. The dataset does not exhibit a discernible pattern, suggesting that the rate did not fluctuate and did not show any specific trend during different hours of the day or different days of the month.

Outliers

The examination of the dataset shows no outliers. An outlier, in this case, would have been a significantly different exchange rate from the trend; however, the rate was unchanging and remained at a constant 0.00034 throughout.

Please note that this analysis is purely based on the provided dataset and doesn't take into account external factors like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports, which could all have significant impacts on exchange rates. Moreover, this analysis does not provide any future exchange rate forecasts.

Summary of Last Month

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

1. Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates

Given the provided data, the exchange rate of KHR seems to be constant at 0.00034 throughout the entire period observed. There wasn't any visible increase, decrease in the rate, indicating a stable market condition for KHR around this time – 22nd April 2024. This inactivity could be due to various reasons which can be determined with more data.

2. Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates

Analysis of the provided data doesn't indicate any perceptible seasonality or recurring patterns in the exchange rate of KHR. As the rate remained constant at 0.00034 with no variations, it is not possible to identify any cyclic behavior or regular fluctuations on this particular date.

3. Noting any outliers

As the exchange rate remains static and predictable in the data set. It doesn't appear any outliers because no significant variations or estimations are evident where the rate of KHR differs abruptly or significantly.

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Data Analysis

After analyzing the provided dataset, the following patterns and characteristics were noted:

1. Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

The exchange rate has generally remained stable in the period shown in the data, as values mostly fluctuate between 0.00033 and 0.00034. However, there were a few instances where the rate marginally increased to 0.00034, showing a slight uptrend before settling back to the general stability.

2. Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Upon analysis, there seems to be no clear seasonality or recurring patterns in the exchange rates within this dataset. The rates show more of a random walk pattern, where there are fluctuations, but they do not repeat with a regular interval or seasonality.

3. Identification of Outliers

The dataset generally fluctuates in a small range, and there are no clear outliers or instances where the exchange rate differs significantly from the rest of the data. Hence, this dataset does not have extreme values that could distort the overall perception or mislead the conclusion about the trend and pattern of the exchange rates.

Please note that this analysis is purely based on the provided data and the true underlying trends or patterns might not be fully captured if the data does not represent the entire event horizon or if it is affected by external factors not accounted in the data.+

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis of the KHR Exchange Rates:

This data set given provides the time-series data for the KHR exchange rates across different timestamps. Upon analyzing the given data, we have the following observations:

1. Overview of the Exchange Rates Trend

It's evident from the data that the exchange rates have remained stable over this period, with the value being consistently at 0.00034 all through the given times. There is no increase or decrease observed in the rates as the data does not exhibit any fluctuation.

2. Seasonal or Recurring Patterns

Given the rate has remained constant throughout, there has been no identifiable pattern, trend, or seasonality in this data set. Changes in the exchange rates are usually affected by a multitude of factors, including economic indicators, market dynamics, geopolitical events, etc. However, since the rates are stable, we cannot discern any pattern or trend in this dataset.

3. Outliers and Abnormalities

Regarding the presence of any outliers or abnormalities, the data does not show any instance of significant deviation from the general trend. As the data is stable and constant at 0.00034, there exists no instance where the exchange rate differs significantly from this stable level.

In conclusion, it can be said that during the period of observation, the KHR exchange rate has remained stable and has not been affected by any substantial change factors traditionally associated with exchange rate fluctuation. On the face of it, it could be categorized as an anomaly, as exchange rates tend to fluctuate based on economic, geopolitical, and other factors.

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Understanding the Overall Trend of Exchange Rates

Upon evaluating the given dataset, it is clear that the KHR exchange rate has remained constant at 0.00034 throughout the specified timeframe. The figures do not deviate from this value at any given point, indicating a stable exchange rate. No upward or downward transitions are detected.

Identification of Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Due to the constant exchange rate, it's impossible to observe any seasonality or recurring patterns. Every recorded timestamp exhibits the same exchange rate, with no discernible pattern or cycle. The constancy in the rate negates any possibility of identifying recurring fluctuations that might typically suggest seasonality.

Noting Any Outliers

Outliers in a dataset represent observations that deviate significantly from other observations. However, since the KHR exchange rate remains steady throughout the provided data, no outliers are detected. The consistent rate of 0.00034 throughout the dataset means there are no instances of the exchange rate differing considerably from the constant figure.

In conclusion, this analysis of the KHR exchange rate dataset points to a stable and constant exchange rate without any observable trends, patterns, or outliers. For a more detailed and dynamic analysis, it would be necessary to have a dataset that showcases variations in the exchange rate.

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