2024-04-17 Zambian Kwacha News

Summary of Yesterday

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Analysis of ZMW Exchange Rate Time Series Data

The ZMW exchange rate data provided outlines changes in the rate over a specific timeline. The analysis of this data will focus on revealing the general trend of the exchange rate changes, any recurring patterns, and the identification of any significant deviations from the expected values. This understanding will be purely data-driven and will exclude external factors.

I. Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

Upon analyzing the data, there seems to be a very subtle downward trend in the first few data points eventually followed by a slight increase by the end of the dataset. However, the overall variation is extremely small with ZMW exchange rates oscillating between about 0.0548 and 0.0552 throughout the entire period.

II. Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

Identifying patterns or seasonality in the dataset is a bit challenging due to the close proximity of the exchange rate values. Nevertheless, the data shows frequent fluctuation up and down, but no significant repetitive pattern or clear seasonality could be identified within this limited dataset.

III. Unexpected Deviations in the Exchange Rates

Given the regular up and down fluctuations in the data, it is difficult to identify any specific outliers or instances where the exchange rate significantly deviates from the trends. It appears the rate remains relatively stable, with minor variations that do not seem to exceed expected values based on the overall trend.

To summarize, the exchange rates for ZMW throughout the provided period do not indicate any dramatic fluctuations. Small variances occur but they don't show any specific trend or pattern. This analysis might differ with a larger dataset or more context concerning economic conditions or external influencing factors.

A recent analysis of Zambian Kwacha (ZMW) exchange rates from the 16th of April 2024 revealed a slow, but steady increase despite a couple of shifts in the market. The analysis conducted spanned 24 hours, providing a comprehensive understanding of the minute-to-minute fluctuations the exchange rate experienced. The day kicked off with a ZMW exchange rate of 0.05483, which saw marginal but consistent reductions in the first hour, eventually steadying at 0.05481. After an hour of momentary steadiness, unpredictable fluctuations occurred bringing the rate anywhere between 0.05479 and 0.05481 until about 01:00 am. A turning point appeared during the early hours of the day, with a progressive rise in the ZMW exchange rate. This became noticeable at 01:05 am sharp, as the rate escalated to 0.05482, finally peaking to 0.05524 at 09:05 am. Despite the slight hiccups in the growth journey, the trajectory largely followed an upward trend, indicating stronger ZMW performance against the concerned currency. However, the relative steadiness and slight rate reductions observed at different hours suggest a volatile market environment not fully in the ZMW''s favor. The increment in the ZMW exchange rate points to a strengthening Zambian economy, revealing certain commendable macroeconomic performances. Such an exchange rate upswing might be reflective of increased Investor confidence, robust exports, or improved foreign direct investments (FDI) into the country. This trend holds significant implications. For domestic consumers, a stronger Kwacha could mean reduced import costs, potentially lowering the price of imported goods. For exporters, the impact could be double-edged, possibly affecting the competitiveness of Zambian exports while increasing the local currency returns from exports. However, caution is advisable when interpreting these results due to the typically volatile nature of Foreign Exchange markets. Various factors, ranging from central bank policies and political stability to global economic events, could cause sudden fluctuations in the market. In the long run, market participants will need to keep a close eye on the underlying trend while also remaining cautious of potential market volatility. For now, the incremental climb of the ZMW exchange rate presents an optimistic picture of the economy, boding well for Zambian stakeholders. However, the coming days will conclude if this uptrend remains consistently enthusiastic or faces inertial drag due to unforeseen circumstances. Incremental Rise in ZMW Exchange Rates Marks April 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.