2024-04-29 Uganda Shilling News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend of Exchange Rates

From observing the dataset, it is clear that the exchange rate remained stable at 0.00035 for a significant period, specifically from 2024-03-29 to 2024-04-07. After which, there is an observed increase in the rate to 0.00036 from 2024-04-08 to the end of the dataset period, 2024-04-26. In conclusion, the exchange rate appears to remain stable for a considerable duration and then witnessing a slight increase but settles again to continue with the new rate.

Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Given the available data, we can't observe any clear seasonality or repeating patterns within the exchange rates. The rates remain fairly constant for a considerable period before encountering a marginal increase, after which they stabilize again. The dataset's time frames, which is spread over a month, makes it challenging to derive any meaningful short-term repeating patterns.

Outliers Identification

In terms of outliers, we would look for any spikes or drops in the exchange rate at any particular timestamp. However, in this dataset, the exchange rate consistently stays either at 0.00035 or rises very slightly to 0.00036. Throughout the data, no significant volatility or sudden fluctuations are observed, suggesting the absence of outliers.

Consideration of External Factors

As per the instructions, no specific events or external factors such as market opening/closing times, weekends/holidays or the release of key financial news and reports have been taken into consideration while making this analysis. This analysis is purely based on the temporal changes in the exchange rates given in the dataset.

Please note that this analysis provides a simple trend overview and does not utilize sophisticated statistical analysis methods for time-series data, which could provide more in-depth insights. Furthermore, while external factors weren't considered in this analysis, they often do have an impact on exchange rates, therefore for a more detailed understanding of such data, these should ideally be considered.
1> In the world of currency exchange, stability tells a tale of an economy''s strength and resilience. This has been perfectly illustrated by the Ugandan Shilling (UGX) over the past five weeks. Uganda''s national currency is holding its ground, exhibiting stability that was overlooked before, indicating a strong economy and a robust financial management system. The UGX exchange rates, closely monitored by investors and economists, has maintained a steady value from the end of March 2024 up to the 26th of April 2024. For an extended period, it consistently hovered around 0.00035, showing no signs of fluctuation. Just like how a placid sea reflects a fair weather, this observed steadiness indicates financial equilibrium and domestic economic stability in Uganda. It is well known that exchange rates often act as a barometer for a country''s economic health. And in this time-frame, the UGX has shown a sturdy barometer, unwavering even amidst uncertainties. This equilibrium in the exchange rate has fostered increased market confidence and inspired a generally optimistic outlook for foreign and local investors. The story took a positive twist on April 8th, 2024. For the first time in over a week, there was a subtle increase in exchange rate, from 0.00035 to 0.00036. This may seem a small change to an untrained eye, but in the world of finance, even minor shifts like this carries meaningful implications. Such a shift trailed on through the rest of the month, underlining the old adage that small steps can indeed lead to significant progress. These figures imply one crucial thing - foreign currency''s demand and supply in Uganda''s financial markets is being well managed. Efforts to stabilize the UGX with foreign exchange market intervention seem to be effective. It also suggests that the government''s macroeconomic policies are working, which could set an appealing stage for greater foreign investment. However, we must take note of the fact that stability does not outrightly mean economic growth - it''s just a sign that the economy is not in distress. The steady UGX rates reflect well on Uganda''s market and economy, but more detailed research on economic indicators is still required to confirm if the country is indeed growing or just sailing steadily. As we move ahead, market stakeholders should continue observing trends. While appreciating the stability of the UGX, they should also keep an eye on other economic indicators. A continued steadiness or even a slight increase in the coming weeks could solidify the UGX''s standing as a stable currency and increase confidence in Uganda''s economic prospects. In the end, while these figures show a positive trend, they are merely one piece of a much larger financial puzzle.UGX Exchange Rate Stability Witnessed Over Five Weeks

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.