2024-04-22 Uganda Shilling News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis of exchange rates

Based on the data provided, here is the comprehensive analysis of the dataset:

Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates

The data does not suggest any significant changes or trends in exchange rates. The value is static at 0.00035 UGX for an extended period until it changes to 0.00036 UGX. As such, it is reasonable to infer that the exchange rate remained relatively stable throughout the period represented by the dataset.

Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns

The data does not exhibit any clear cyclic or seasonal patterns. The changes do not appear to be tied to any specific time or period, indicating a lack of significant fluctuation or trend. As such, the exchange rates seem to have remained consistent and steady throughout the times represented in the dataset.

Noting any outliers

Given the overall stability of the exchange rates in this dataset, it is challenging to identify any outliers. The exchange rates remain consistent at 0.00035 UGX for the vast majority of the timestamps. The rate only increases marginally to 0.00036 UGX towards the end of the time series data, which is not a substantial enough deviation to be considered an outlier.

Therefore, based on the static nature of the data, there is not enough variation in the exchange rates to establish any outliers that significantly differ from the expected trend.

t Condition In the volatile world of foreign exchange, the Ugandan Shilling (UGX) has shown utter resilience. Over the course of an extensive by-the-hour analysis, from March 22 to April 19, 2024, UGX has braved the testing times by holding firmly to its exchange rate against its counterpart currencies. The opening data sets from March 22 till April 7 record a steady UGX rate at 0.00035. Interestingly, in the following days towards the end of the period on April 19, the Shilling climbed to 0.00036. Despite what can only be termed as hostile market conditions, the UGX remained strong against major trading currencies. The stability of the UGX gives an assured confidence to foreign investors who consider currency volatility one of the significant risks in doing business. Analysts credit this steadiness to the robust policy measures in place combined with strong market fundamentals. Swings in currency rates can also lead to inflationary pressure, and the stability witnessed in the UGX exchange rate over this period can insulate the domestic economy from imported inflation. The importance of exchange rate stability cannot be emphasized enough. It''s a strong determinant for foreign investments. A volatile currency poses an unsolicited risk to incoming capital, as it could dent both the returns and the principal amount invested due to wild currency swings. With Uganda being a developing country heavily reliant on foreign direct investment (FDI) not just for capital but also for technology and skills transfer, stability in exchange rate could significantly boost the country’s attractiveness to foreign investors. However, it would be naive to interpret stability as a sign of a strong economy. It''s necessary to keep these metrics in context. While a stable exchange rate does provide a fertile ground for investments and aids in fostering economic growth, it''s also crucial to note other indicators like inflation, employment data, and GDP growth to get a holistic view of the state of the economy. Looking forward, investors, both domestic and foreign, should keep a close eye on the range of economic indicators coming out of Uganda. Any major swing in these could potentially signal a shift in the exchange rate stability experienced over the recent past. Moreover, while the Central Bank has managed to hold the rates, it would be interesting to see how long this stability lasts in a global economy characterized by frequent financial shocks. A stable exchange rate is not a means to an end but a tool that if correctly utilized, can dramatically foster economic growth. Uganda surely seems to be on the right economic path by maintaining its currency''s stability. As we move deeper into 2024, this trend will be interesting to follow.UGX Exchange Rate Remains Resilient Amid Turbulent Market Condition

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.