2024-05-21 UAE Dirham News

Summary of Last Month

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis of Overall Trend

Looking at the given data, it's clear that the exchange rate for AED fluctuates within a very narrow range throughout the day. The overall trend states that the rate starts at about 0.37034, dipping a little, and rising again to touch a high of approximately 0.37146, which eventually comes back down slightly towards the end of the period. On the whole, the general trend manifests a slight increase in the exchange rate over this period.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

As the given data is only for a single day, it might be a bit difficult to identify a concrete and recurring seasonal pattern. That said, an intermittent pattern can be identified where the exchange rate seems to increase a little towards the start of a new hour but then slowly falls during the rest of the hour. This pattern tends to recur several times throughout the day.

Outliers in the Data

Given the very narrow range of fluctuation in the rates, instances that deviate from this pattern are quite minimal. However, one could consider the slight spikes reaching a high of 0.37146 and a low of 0.37025 as small outliers as these figures slightly deviate from the average observable rate. But it should be noted these deviations aren't significant enough to be classified as extreme outliers.

Emerging Market Dynamics The United Arab Emirates witnessed a roller coaster ride as the exchange rate of its national currency, the Dirham (AED), continued to fluctuate throughout May 20, 2024. The AED''s volatility is largely influenced by an amalgamation of global macroeconomic factors, regional policies, and emerging market dynamics. The day kicked off with the currency exchanged at 0.37034 at midnight, experiencing minor fluctuations, until finally peaking at 0.37146 by 9:15 PM. Afterwards, it witnessed a slight dip, finally settling at 0.37135 by the end of the day. These fluctuations depict a rather volatile day for the AED, compared to its overall performance in prior days. Market participants consider a myriad of factors contributing to the movement in the currency exchange rate. For instance, changes in interest rates, inflation, and the country''s political stability and economic performance are typical dynamics that impact the currency''s value. In relation to the AED, the oil dynamics also play a significant role since the UAE''s economy is majorly intertwined with oil prices. Additionally, the AED is pegged to the US dollar. This means that any movements in the US economy or changes in its monetary policy can translate into similar trends in the AED''s exchange rate. The recorded fluctuations of AED on May 20th, while not extreme, can still have considerable implications for international traders and investors having exposure to the currency. It should be noted that exchange rate volatility can impact the competitiveness of exports and attract or deter foreign investors, among other consequences. Uncertainty also looms large as investors are keenly observing the world''s response to these fluctuations in the exchange rate. In particular, they are interested in any measures or responses that could potentially introduce from the UAE Central Bank. The events of May 20th confirm the notion that currency exchange rates are highly volatile and susceptible to numerous influences. Uncertainty remains high for the AED''s performance in the coming days. Indeed, market participants will keenly be observing the macroeconomic factors which could potentially swing the exchange rate in either direction. Investors and businesses are advised to remain vigilant and monitor the situation closely. As the global community continues to grapple with unpredictable economic conditions, strategic decision-making will be of utmost importance in ensuring the continued stability of the AED and the UAE''s economy at large.Significant AED Exchange Rate Fluctuations Recorded Amid Emerging Market Dynamics

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

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