2024-04-29 Turkish Lira News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis of the Dataset:

The dataset provided contains a series of exchange rates (TRY) recorded at different timestamps between March 29, 2024 and April 26, 2024. The observations are made multiple times within a day indicating the changes in exchange rates.

1. Understanding the Overall Trend:

Initially, the TRY exchange rate shows a slight decrement from 0.04187 to 0.04171 but then it picks a rising trend until it reaches to 0.0426 after April 10th. After this point, the rate fluctuates between 0.04195 and 0.0426 till April 26th. The general trend shows an increase in the TRY exchange rate across the period shown.

2. Seasonality or Recurring Patterns:

We cannot clearly identify a strong seasonal pattern or recurring pattern from the provided data since the fluctuations are random and inconsistent in timings. However, there is a slight noticeable pattern of minor reductions followed by minor increments in the TRY rates that repeats in certain interval but not at a constant frequency.

3. Outliers Identification:

The data doesn't seem to contain any major outliers or instances where the exchange rate significantly differs from the expected rate based on the trend. The rate changes are gradual and do not exhibit any sudden steep rise or fall which could be considered as outliers.

Please note that this analysis is purely based on time-series trend evaluation and doesn't take into external factors like market openings/closings, weekends/holidays or key financial news and reports. Also, no forecasting for future rates is done as per the requirement.

id-to-Late April 2024 The exchange rates for the Turkish Lira (TRY) against the USD showcased noteworthy fluctuations throughout the period between mid-April and late April in 2024. Initially noting a gradual decline, the rates later displayed a substantial rise, only to circle back down towards the end of the observation period. The TRY started mid-April at an approximate exchange rate of 0.0426, showing a marginal drop to 0.04258 on April 15, 2024. Over the next two days, the rates seemed to hover around this figure. However, an unanticipated shift was observed after April 16, with rates dropping down to around 0.042. By April 18, this descent further intensified with rates reaching as low as 0.04204, generating concerns among financial analysts and investors. Following this downswing, the TRY bounced back significantly between April 24 and April 26. The currency hit a month high of approximately 0.04216 on April 26, in a rather significant swift recovery. It''s crucial to understand that such fluctuations in financial markets can generate a variety of implications, specifically for foreign investors who conduct transactions in different currencies. The sharp rise and subsequent decrease in TRY value within a short span of time could be seen as a reflection of economic uncertainty—a factor that is capable of discouraging investors and forcing them to seek safer investment options. The reasons behind the observed movements in the TRY rates could be attributed to various factors, such as geopolitical tensions, economic policy changes, or market sentiments. However, without clear data highlighting these, we can only speculate on the circumstances. Regardless, this oscillation can be interpreted as a symbol of increased market volatility. The variability of the TRY has a direct impact on the Turkish economy—specifically, its trade. An unpredictable lira might result in inflated import costs, and conversely, decreased export prices. Looking forward, market participants and policy-makers need to keep a vigilant eye on these transitions in exchange rates. Rate fluctuations like these not only affect bilateral trade relations but can also significantly impact foreign direct investment (FDI) flows into the country. It remains pivotal for investors and traders alike to understand and account for market volatility when making financial decisions. Patterns, such as the ones we''ve observed here, help anticipate future movements, thereby assisting in risk management and the decision-making process. While the TRY''s oscillation pattern might seem concerning, it''s vital to remember that fluctuations are common in financial markets. What is necessary is to watch the trend, measure the impacts, and strategize accordingly. As we move deeper into 2024, financial stakeholders will undoubtedly keep their gaze fixed on future trends of the Turkish Lira.TRY Exchange Rates See a Confusing Oscillation Through Mid-to-Late April 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.