2024-05-13 Tugrik News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

The overall trend from the data provided indicates that the MNT exchange rate is relatively stable. This is indicated by the constant exchange rate of 0.0004 that seems to persist throughout the entire series dataset. It doesn't show whether the rates increase or decrease within the given period as there is only a minimal fluctuation recorded on 2024-04-12 at 12:00 pm and 14:00 pm where the rate was at 0.00041 before reverting back to 0.0004. From this, one can infer a largely stable trend in the exchange rate for the MNT in the dataset.

2. Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

As per the given dataset, no clear seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates can be determined. The exchange rate remains consistent at every timestamp, with no discernable pattern related to specific times of the day, days of the week, or other seasonal factors. However, it is recommended to have data that expands over a longer period of time to make conclusive remarks on seasonality or recurring patterns.

3. Outliers in the Exchange Rates

Considering the data presented, there are no significant outliers in the exchange rates. Only two instances are present where the exchange rate differs from the standard 0.0004 rate – specifically, on 2024-04-12 at 12:00 pm and 14:00 pm, where the rate rose to 0.00041. However, these instances seem to be anomalies rather than significant outliers, as there are no other timestamps where the rate deviates from 0.0004. In this regard, the exchange rates show very minimal variations.

h1> In the financial world, sturdiness may not always make the headlines, but its importance can''t be overstated. Over the past fortnight, the exchange rate of Mongolian Tugrik (MNT) exhibited a rock-solid performance, maintaining a nearly fixed value of 0.0004 against the US dollar. This consistency in the foreign exchange market is intriguing, warranting a deeper look into its causes and implications. It began on April 12, 2024, when the exchange rate of MNT held at 0.0004. Interestingly, it had just a short-lived spike to 0.00041 on the same day before returning to the stable value. From then until May 10, 2024, the MNT stubbornly stuck to this exchange rate, showing an unparalleled consistency in its performance. Now, why is this significant? Firstly, stable exchange rates are rare in the world of forex. They signal a low inflation rate, which often indicates a thriving and well-balanced economy. This could mean that the monetary policies employed by Mongolia during this period were successful in keeping inflation at bay and sustaining the value of MNT. The uninterrupted stable value of MNT has further implications for Mongolia''s trade. Lower exchange rate volatility reduces transaction costs in international trade, which can bolster the country''s export performance. Foreign investors may also find Mongolia a less risky destination, potentially attracting more foreign investment and boosting the economy. However, it''s not all sunshine and rainbows. This flat rate scenario suggests limited opportunities for forex traders who thrive on currency fluctuations. Low volatility generally translates into reduced chances of sizable gains for currency speculators. Looking forward, it''ll be interesting to watch if this stability continues and how it affects Mongolia''s economy. It is important to remember that a static currency exchange rate could also mask underlying economic issues. Therefore, it would be prudent for stakeholders to keep a close watch on other indicators such as GDP, unemployment rate, and inflation. For now, MNT''s consistent behaviour has defied the chaotic landscape of forex markets. This could be a testament to strong economic fundamentals, prudent fiscal policies, and the country''s resilience in managing external shocks. As the proverb says - still waters run deep. The reality of Mongolia''s economy might just be unfolding beneath the tranquil surface of the static MNT exchange rate. Steady Performance of MNT Exchange Rate Over Two Weeks

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.