2024-05-20 Taka News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend Analysis

After rigorous analysis of the provided time series data for BDT exchange rates, the data appear to be following a relatively stable trend with slight fluctuations. The exchange rate slightly increases from the start for a period but then takes a slight dip as some intervals, hinting towards minor volatility. However, the overall trend still remains quite stable without any significant upward or downward surge. The rates hover around the values of 0.0125 and 0.0126 with intermittent fluctuations in between.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns Analysis

In terms of seasonality and recurring patterns, there's no clear repetitive pattern in the given dataset. The fluctuations in exchange rate occur unevenly without any discernible repetitive or seasonal patterns. Further data points or a longer timeline might yield some patterns or seasonality in fluctuation.

Outliers and Unexpected Rates Analysis

Throughout the dataset, the exchange rates typically range between around 0.0116 to 0.0126, and major deviations from this range could be considered outliers. However, since the range of fluctuation is minor - the data does not exhibit any significant instance of unexpected exchange rates. There's a noteworthy dip to around 0.0117 on May 9, 2024, which could be considered an exception in comparison to the stable trend observed. Such incidents might signal a significant financial event or market change.

Please bear in mind, this analysis excludes the impact of external factors such as market opening/closing hours, financial news, and reports etc. Therefore, the actual cause behind these fluctuations might need a more detailed context-specific study.

Conclusions

  • The dataset indicates a broad stability in BDT exchange rates with minor inherit fluctuations over the course of given timestamps.
  • No distinctive seasonal or recurring patterns have been found in the given dataset.
  • While most rates adhered to the identified trend, a small number of exceptions and outliers were located. This, however, does not disrupt the larger stability of the BDT exchange rates within the dataset provided.

Advance data analytics and more data points could provide a more comprehensive understanding of the dataset and might aid in identifying potential seasonality or patterns.

2024 The Bangladeshi Taka (BDT) has demonstrated a minor increase amidst slight fluctuations over the course of late April and May 2024. An analysis of timestamped data shows slight but consistent changes in the currency''s exchange rate profile. The BDT maintained a steady exchange rate from April 19 to April 23, with minor upticks interspersed amidst the steadiness. After April 23, a slight dip in the rate was witnessed until April 29, when it gradually picked up till April 30, making it the peak of the month at a rate of 0.01255. A subsequent dip was seen in the early days of May falling to 0.01245, only to see a sudden, significant drop on May 9, where the exchange rate fell to 0.0117 from the previous value of 0.0125. Several factors could contribute to such fluctuations. Exchange rates can be influenced by factors such as inflation rates, interest rates, country''s debt level, terms of trade, political stability and performance of the foreseen economic outlook. However, it is noteworthy that the currency managed to stay around the 0.0125 mark for a significant part of the time despite these fluctuations. The fluctuation of the currency is critical as it impacts not just the exchange rate market and the currency traders but also the economy as a whole. It is closely connected to the country''s imports and exports, impacting the purchasing power and thus the common people''s lives. A country with a consistently lower exchange rate will find its imported goods expensive leading to inflation in some cases. The highest exchange rate of the BDT during the timeframe was 0.01256 on May 2, indicating an upward trend at the start of the month. However, the significant drop on May 9 marked the period''s lowest exchange rate of 0.01168, suggesting a possible period of volatility or impactful economic news in the country. Looking ahead, these fluctuations in the BDT exchange rate will continue to be an area of much watch in times to come. As the nuances of the country''s economic policies, geopolitical relations, trade agreements, and other macroeconomic factors evolve, so would the currency''s strength in the global forex markets. Investors and financial enthusiasts should keep an eye on these developments and the government''s measures to ensure the BDT''s stability in such volatile times. Conclusively, the intricate dance of economic indicators and their influence on exchange rates remains a vital facet of fiscal and monetary policies for any country. A positive inclination towards ensuring economic stability could potentially see the BDT reach new heights in the coming months and beyond, depending on the approaches and policies adopted by the Bangladesh government and central bank in securing economic resilience. Only time will tell whether the fluctuating saga of the BDT would achieve stability or witness further highs and lows.BDT Strengthens Slightly while Fluctuating in April-May 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.