Steady State Maintained in BDT Exchange Rate Amid Static Trading

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis of Exchange Rates - BDT

After a comprehensive analysis of the dataset provided, following are my observations:

1. Trend of Exchange Rates

From a high-level perspective, the BDT exchange rate appears fairly stable throughout the length of data provided. The rates oscillate between a minimal range of 0.01166 and 0.0117, which implies very minor fluctuations over time, suggesting an almost constant rate within this dataset. Though the numbers are not identical and have slight variations, the overall trend tends to stay comparatively flat with no drastic increases or decreases. It starts at 0.0117, adjusts very slightly downwards to 0.01168-0.01169 and eventually slightly upwards again to 0.0117, thus completing a full cycle.

2. Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Given the nature of the dataset and the minimal fluctuation of exchange rates, discerning clear seasonal trends or recurring patterns is challenging. Rates mostly fluctuated within a very narrow range limiting the room to extract a recognizable pattern or seasonality. Due to the constant nature of this timeseries data, the data does not hint towards any concrete cyclic or repetitive patterns within these exchange rate values. Thus, it appears that there is no direct seasonality or a distinct pattern in this series.

3. Deviations or Outliers

Throughout the dataset, there are no significant deviations or outliers. The exchange rates remained within a tight and minimal range, with very slight fluctuations only. Given the narrow spectrum of values, the occurrences of outlier moments are practically non-existent, suggesting that the collected data is quite uniform without any irregularities or anomalies.

In conclusion, this dataset indicates a quite stable and steady behavior of the BDT exchange rates within the time frame considered, with minute fluctuations and no apparent seasonality or noticeable outliers.

Trade currency in Bangladesh has controlled the waves in a steady state, as the Bangladesh Taka (BDT) maintained the same exchange rate for almost the entirety of May 14th, 2024. This suggests a marked contrast with the normal volatile nature of the foreign exchange market and hence calls for significant analysis. The time-series data focusing on May 14th, 2024, revealed a minor fluctuation in the BDT exchange rate, demonstrating a mere nosedive from 0.0117 to 0.01168 towards the end of that trading day. Given the general trend of fluctuations in the world foreign exchange market, this constant trading price in Bangladesh’s foreign exchange market is indeed noticeable. It is essential to understand the context of this unusual stability. In the foreign exchange market, demand and supply for a particular currency dictate its value. Hence, such substantial stability indicates an almost perfect balance between the demand and supply of BDT. Such an equilibrium is unlikely in an active market unless there were some extraordinary interventions or market conditions. Several factors could have contributed to this event. Fiscal policy interventions by Bangladesh Bank, aimed at stabilizing the currency, could be one such factor. The local central bank has the power to manipulate the money supply, affecting exchange rates. In addition, the lack of news or events influencing market sentiment about Bangladesh''s economy might have also contributed to the steady state. On the other hand, the presence of macroeconomic stability in the country could be another determinant, helping to maintain confidence among the investing community, thereby managing a steady demand-supply chain for BDT. However, this equilibrium state''s sustainability is highly uncertain in the volatile forex market. Critical factors like inflation, economic growth, geopolitical developments, and global financial market trends could indeed trigger movements in the BDT exchange rate soon. Moreover, any drastic policy changes implemented by the local central bank could disturb this well-balanced market situation. Investors and traders are suggested to focus on future aspects that might impact Bangladesh''s economy. Any upcoming economic data, policy changes, or international developments should be closely observed for their potential effects on the BDT exchange rate, considering the current equilibrium state of the market. In conclusion, while the constant rate of BDT on May 14th, 2024, provided a stable trading environment, the potential for change is always imminent in the ever-volatile forex market. As we continue to monitor this steady trend, market participants should be prepared for potential shifts and respond accordingly. Steady State Maintained in BDT Exchange Rate Amid Static Trading

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.