2024-04-16 Taka News

Summary of Last Month

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend

Upon analyzing the dataset, it is observed that the exchange rate (BDT) shows a generally stable trend with slight fluctuations. The variations in the rate are minimally negligible, hovering around 0.0125 to 0.0126. The data doesn't suggest a clear and prolonged pattern of either increasing or decreasing trend. Thus, the exchange rate has largely remained stable within the timeframe provided.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

Considering the interval between data points, it is hard to identify any clear recurring pattern or strong seasonality within the data. The exchange rate shows only minute fluctuations but no obvious predictable pattern over a specific timeframe could be observed. While it isn't unusual to expect some form of intraday seasonality in exchange rates, such patterns aren’t evident from the data supplied.

Outliers

With a quick analysis of the data provided, there don't appear to be any significant outliers; that is, points where the exchange rate deviates drastically from the general trend. The values fluctuate within a very small range and do not show any instances of a significant spike or dip. This absence of significant outliers further supports the observation of the exchange rate being largely stable.

Limitations

  • This analysis is based solely on the data provided and does not factor in any external market events or larger economic trends that might impact exchange rates.
  • While significant outliers have been searched for and noted, this analysis doesn't involve complex statistical measures of identifying outliers and relies on a direct assessment of numbers.
  • The analysis has been performed under the assumption that the data provided is accurate and reliable.
ace In a seemingly rare financial phenomenon, the exchange rate of the Bangladeshi Taka (BDT) remained manly unchanged over a prolonged period, signalling a phase of stability in the currency market. This stability, analysts argue, could augur well for both domestic and foreign investors looking for predictability. As per the data provided, the BDT began trade on April 15, 2024, with an exchange rate of 0.01254, meandering to a low of 0.01252 and a high of 0.01257, only to close at 0.01253 at the end of the trading day. Statistically, having such a tiny range for a whole day is uncommon in global exchange markets which experience dynamic shifts influenced by a complex ensemble of economic indicators, geopolitical uncertainties, and policy changes. Market watchers believe that this flatline could be attributable to the absence of significant external shocks or critical economic announcements, leading to muted volatility. The absence of a catalyst allowed the BDT to trade close to its intrinsic value without succumbing to market noise. Continued stability in currency rates creates a climate of certainty, making it conducive for foreign investors who peruse currency exchange risks when setting investment strategies. At the same time, this stagnant exchange rate environment is beneficial for exporters and importers who depend on the currency rate for their transactions. Local businesses also stand to gain from this stagnation. Since the currency rate is a critical factor that influences the cost of imported goods and services, a stable currency is likely to aid businesses in cost projections and reduce losses due to currency rate unpredictability. However, financial experts advise caution. While continued BDT stability could be a boon for certain sectors, it could also be indicative of a bigger economic slowdown. Without the usual economic activity or market intervention, currency rates tend to remain largely unchanged. Looking ahead, market participants should scrutinize key economic indicators to gauge potential movements in the BDT exchange rate. Upcoming inflation data and changes in the interest rate by the Central Bank are critical factors that could deviate the pattern. In conclusion, while the consistently steady BDT rate might appear uneventful, it could influence local and international businesses in more ways than one. The next phase of activity will depend on various economic announcements and external geopolitical developments that could infuse excitement back into the currency market.Steady BDT Rates Leads to Predictability in the Marketplace

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.