2024-05-01 Sri Lanka Rupee News

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Understanding the Overall Trend

Based on the data provided, the exchange rate (LKR) seems to be generally stable in the initial period but as time progresses, slight variations and an increasing trend are noticeable post the 6th hour of each timestamp. The increase is negligible until the 7th hour, but post 7th hour we see a steady increase in the exchange rate until fairly stabilizing around 0.00464. It slightly increased again post the 17th hour and reached up to 0.00465 but soon dropped back to the previous level of 0.00464. Towards the end of the data points, specifically post the 20th timestamp hour, we see another slight reduction in exchange rate to 0.00462, at which it stays constant.

Identifying Seasonality

Given the data spans within a day, it might be hard to identify any clear seasonality or cyclical trends. However, certain hourly patterns could be observed where there is a slight increase in exchange rate after 6th hour followed by period of relative stability and another slight increase after 17th hour. Intraday volatility is observed, but a regular rhythmic pattern, indicative of seasonality, is not immediately evident from the data.

Notable Outliers

In the given dataset, there doesn't seem to be any significant outliers. The LKR exchange rate stays fairly close to the mean throughout the time series data. The highest (0.00465) and the lowest values (0.00460) don't deviate significantly from each other. However, finer analysis may reveal minor deviations that can be considered as outliers.

Concluding Remarks

The provided dataset shows a relatively stable trend with minor fluctuations in the LKR exchange rate throughout the time series. A cyclical or recurrent pattern is not overtly evident from the given data, and the presence of outliers seems minimal. It's important to remember that financial data is influenced by many factors that might not be evident in a straightforward numerical analysis.

ril 2024 Markets witnessed a delicate, yet significant climb in the LKR exchange rate against the U.S. dollar in the month of April 2024. The period was characterized by a steadiness of the exchange rate that underscored a solid performance by the Sri Lankan Rupee (LKR) in a volatile market. For most of the month, the LKR exchange rate showed a restrained pattern of stability, fluctuating around 0.0046. However, towards the latter part of the month, there was a slight yet steady upward drift in the exchange rate, reaching 0.00465, which marked a notable change in a relatively steady pattern witnessed over this period. Analysts suggest that this steady climb may be a reflection of underlying market forces acting in favor of the LKR. This could be attributed to a variety of factors. Potential foreign investments in Sri Lanka, improved economic indicators, or perhaps an overall interest towards Emerging Market currencies during the period under consideration. The trend of a slowly strengthening LKR exchange rate began to emerge as early as the third week of the month, creating a subtle yet discernable shift into positive territory. Despite the climb being small in absolute numbers, it is the stability and persistence that caught market watchers'' attention. The consistency in this upward trend highlights the resilience of the LKR during this period. In the frequently changing landscape of currency markets, even minor sustained movements can signify noteworthy underlying dynamics. It''s important to understand that the exchange rate reflects not just the strength or weakness of the currency itself, but also the market''s perception of the country''s economy. For local industries and exporters, this trend indicates a strengthening of the domestic currency, which may have implications for their strategies and operational calculus. Simultaneously, potential investors in Sri Lanka would be keen to watch any sustained movements in the currency as it directly impacts their return on investments. Looking ahead, market participants will be eyeing the first week of May for signs of whether this gentle upward trend will continue, consolidate, or reverse. Key domestic and international macroeconomic indicators scheduled in the early part of May could also impact the LKR''s exchange rate. While the month ended on a positive note for the LKR, whether this marks a start of a more prolonged trend of strengthening or a temporary blip remains to be seen. As we step into May, the market remains watchful, and this period could possibly set the stage for future trends in the LKR exchange rate. In true essence of financial markets, currency exchanges are never about an isolated month or a single trend. They are a kaleidoscope of various factors – national and global – which interplay to guide the journey of a currency. This particular journey of the LKR in the month of April has been a testament to that very fact.Steady Climb Observed in LKR Exchange Rate throughout April 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.