2024-04-22 Sri Lanka Rupee News

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Forex Data Analysis: LKR Exchange Rate Over Time

This analysis is based on a time series dataset containing information on the Sri Lankan Rupee (LKR) exchange rates over a specific time period.

1. Overall Trend Analysis

Based on the provided data, it can be observed that there is a very slight upward trend in the value of LKR against the base currency. This small upward trend is mainly noticeable around the end of March and going into April, and it seems to persist overall during the timeline provided. However, it's also worth noting that the exchange rate in this period largely fluctuates within a very tight range, from around 0.00444 to 0.00462, which indicates a relatively stable exchange rate without any drastic rises or falls.

2. Seasonality and Recurring Pattern Analysis

From the provided data, no distinctive seasonality or recurring patterns can be directly identified in the changes of exchange rates. As the data does not appear to follow a specific daily or weekly cycle, it may not exhibit some std form of intraday or weekly seasonality that can be recognized without additional data, such as data covering a yearly period or longer.

3. Outliers and Anomaly Analysis

By analyzing the exchange rate data, there are no clear outliers or anomalies that significantly differ from the general trend. This suggests that there have been no occurrences of extreme volatility in the exchange rate during the time covered by the provided dataset. There's only a slight increase in the exchange rate around April 10th with an exchange rate peaking at around 0.00462, which although it's the highest in this period, it can't be considered a significant outlier given that it's close to the usual fluctuation range.

This analysis is purely based on the provided dataset and excludes the possible impacts of other external factors. Therefore, the results may vary when considering other factors like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, and the release of key financial news and reports.

h and April 2024 The Sri Lankan Rupee (LKR) has experienced a gradual, yet noticeable increase in exchange rates across the months of March and April in 2024. This promising rise marks an impactful development in the economic landscape, even more so amidst global economic uncertainties. The LKR started at an exchange rate of 0.00444 on the 22nd of March, 2024. For the next few days, the value remained fairly stable, not showing significant changes. However, from the 27th of March onwards, the trend of growth initiated. While the increase was moderate at first, this period marked the beginning of a steady uptick that continued throughout most of April. The noteworthy part of this development was the consistency. Despite occasional subtle dips, the general trajectory was upward. To illustrate clearly, the LKR reached a higher value of 0.00458 by the 10th of April, gaining almost 0.00014 over just a fortnight. Notably, the rate briefly surged a bit further on the 11th and 12th of April to 0.0046. Thereafter, maintaining its persistence upwards, the exchange rate peaked to 0.00461 from the 12th to the 16th of April. Subsequently, several downward fluctuations were observed towards the end of April, however, the rate ultimately settled at 0.00455 by the 19th, still marking an overall increase. This upward trend can be attributed to various macroeconomic factors, among which are favorable trade balances, remittance flow, and potential foreign investor confidence in the Sri Lankan market. The situation portrays a strong outlook for the LKR, which could make Sri Lanka a potentially attractive territory for investors aiming for foreign exchange gains. Nonetheless, future predictions must be accepted with sufficient caution. Various factors such as shifts in global finance, governmental policy changes, and impact of global incidences could alter the course. Therefore, while the trend is noteworthy, it is always necessary to analyze it within a larger context. Looking ahead, market players and potential investors should keep a close watch on both domestic and global macroeconomic indicators. These include but are not limited to economic growth trends, inflation figures, interest rates, geopolitical situations, in addition to considering the global economic impact of the ongoing health and other contemporary crises. In conclusion, so far, the consistent rise in the LKR exchange rate paints an optimistic picture, instilling hopes of better prospects for foreign investors, exporters, and the overall Sri Lankan economy. The situation, however, warrants a cautious approach, underlining the necessity to stay connected with the wider economic environment, both on a national and global platform.Steady Growth Seen in LKR Exchange Rates Throughout March and April 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.