2024-04-22 SDR (Special Drawing Right) News

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Overall Trend Analysis

Looking at the provided dataset, it is observed that XDR exchange rates have been relatively unstable between March 22, 2024, and April 19, 2024. The rates hovered between ~1.79 to ~1.83, indicating a minimal increase of about 0.04 over the period. This trend can be divided into smaller trends: from a slight increase at the start (March 22 - March 26), a decrease towards the end of March, a rise at the start of April, another decrease towards mid-April, and a noticeable increase from April 10 onwards, followed by a slight decrease near the end of the period.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

Though complex patterns often require in-depth statistical analysis, a preliminary review of the data does not seem to suggest an overt seasonality or recurring patterns in the exchange rates, at least within the timeframe provided. The absence of a recurring pattern could be explained by the fact that currency exchange rates, like XDR, are typically influenced by various unpredictable factors, including geopolitical events, economic indicators, and market speculation.

Outliers Detection

There were a few times where the exchange rates significantly deviated from the overall trend. For instance, on April 10, a sharp increase in the rate to ~1.81 from ~1.80 could be considered an outlier. It then spiked to ~1.82 on April 12, a few days after. These outliers could potentially be the result of drastic economic changes or significant events in the global financial markets. However, as per the instructions, these external factors were not taken into consideration for this analysis.

Please note that the above analysis was done assuming the increases and decreases as straightforward. A detailed analysis involving standard deviation and mean value would be needed to define the exact thresholds that define an outlier.

Two-Week Period In a span of a fortnight, the international exchange rate – drawn against the Special Drawing Rights (XDR) - has undergone considerable ups and downs, marking periods of both stability and volatility. Benchmarked by the International Monetary Fund, XDR is a basket of currencies which act as a supplementary international reserve asset. Evaluations of the past two weeks starting from 22nd March 2024 reveal the XDR rate began at 1.796 and peaked at 1.828 on April 12th, acknowledging the agile nature of financial markets. The initial aimless wandering around 1.796 to 1.799 zone until March 27th suddenly got a significant boost. The uptick was reflected with the XDR rate breaching the 1.800 mark, though later behind March 28th it fell back to the 1.790-level, and maintained a relatively consistent range. However, the turning point came on April 10th, when the rate propelled to cross the 1.800-mark and further escalated in the coming days to attain an estimated high of 1.828 on April 12th. Noteworthy, this period also marked an unusual activity as the rates reached the climax from the relatively stagnant zone. Unsurprisingly due to strategic financial planning and market trends, the rates have descended again but remained fairly above the earlier 1.796 mark, only to record a value of 1.810 on April 15th. It maintained trading within the vicinity of this mark, essentially moving sideways but reflecting an overall positive trend comparing to the initial stages. This behavior in XDR exchange rates can be attributed to various global economic indicators, central bank policies, and other geopolitical factors. Such trends are significant for international investors, financial institutions, and countries that rely heavily on international trade as they can affect profitability, policy decisions, and financial stability. Furthermore, the oscillating pattern observed seems to be a repeated motif in financial markets and we can anticipate that trend will continue to mutate. Any economic trigger – a policy change, an economic trend, or geopolitical event can drive the XDR exchange rates up or down. Nevertheless, the ability to forecast these shifts will not only help to mitigate risk but also churn potential profitable strategies. Investors and Traders need to keep a close eye on the market trends and factors influencing the XDR rate. Looking ahead, it’s important for investors to closely watch the global economic indicators and IMF statements. The XDR rate is highly sensitive to changes in the global financial environment. Its timely evaluation and meticulous analysis can lead towards beneficial financial decisions and coping up to trading turbulence.XDR Exchange Rates Experience Notable Fluctuations Over Two-Week Period

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.