2024-05-06 Saudi Riyal News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend Analysis

The data points in the series indicate a gradual increase in the exchange rate over the time period in question. While some fluctuations do occur, the general trend appears to be upward.

Seasonality Analysis

Given the data provided, it seems that the exchange rate does not display any clear seasonality. The exchange rate changes do not have a consistent periodic pattern through the dataset which would suggest there is not a significant seasonal effect on the exchange rate.

Outlier Identification

There are several notable instances in the data where the exchange rate experiences a substantial change within a short period - these anomalies are likely to be outliers. Based on the trend and apparent lack of seasonality, these unexpected changes may be driven by factors not included in the dataset.

Additional Considerations and Limitations

  • The analysis performed does not take into account any external factors such as market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports. These factors could potentially have significant impact on the currency exchange rates.
  • The dataset is relatively short. For a longer time period, more complex patterns or trends might emerge.
  • The analysis does not provide any prediction or forecast for future exchange rates based on the provided data.
Note that this analysis is purely descriptive and based solely on the past data. Other methods of analysis or additional data may yield different results or interpretations.
exchange rate market manifested animated reactions following the rumors surrounding the upcoming monetary decisions from the US Federal Reserve. In response, the Saudi Arabian Riyal (SAR) experienced a volatile fluctuation throughout April, ending up on a higher note than where it began. From April 5th 2024, we witnessed the SAR oscillating between 0.36143 and 0.36868 before settling at 0.36422 on April 29th. The currency responded with an apparent sensitivity to external influences derived from international economies, particularly the United States. SAR''s average rate throughout the month had been relatively steady with minor fluctuations. However, from mid-April, the currency began its upward trajectory, revealing signs of market anticipation over Fed''s speculated policy change. On April 10th, there was a notable rise in the SAR''s value that broke the prevailing pattern of steady but marginal shifts. The SAR went from 0.36146 to 0.36502 within a day, equating to an increase of approximately 1%. While the rise may seem minor in absolute terms, it is considerable in the realm of foreign exchange rates. The trend was sustained and slightly amplified by April 12th, where the value reached its highest point at 0.36742, the maximum for the month. Market analysts attributed the increase to the pervasive speculation on the impending Fed''s decision concerning its interest rates. The US Federal Reserve has been hinting at a potential rate hike for months to combat escalating inflation that threatens economic stability. This move is important for the SAR as the currency is pegged to the U.S Dollar. Any changes to the U.S fiscal policy typically have direct implications on the SAR''s exchange rate. After its peak on April 12th, the SAR experienced a degree of volatility but maintained its strong position relative to the beginning of the month. The rise in its value implies the market''s response to the potential Fed rate hike, translating anticipation into tangible shift in the currency''s exchange rate. As we move forward, all eyes will remain on the US Federal Reserve. Its upcoming decisions on the interest rates will significantly affect the SAR. However, the currency''s ability to sustain its current standing will also be contingent on the consistent strength of Saudi Arabia''s domestic economy. In a global economy where even rumors can prompt market shifts, the SAR''s trajectory in April 2024 speaks volumes about the interconnectedness of global markets. The month ahead promises heightened anticipation as markets worldwide await the Federal Reserve''s decision. Investors will remain vigilant, scrutinizing any hints from the US regarding their monetary policy. The anticipation alone underscores the tactical importance of timing in the currency exchange market. Whether the SAR will continue to climb or reverse course will largely depend on the Fed''s final decision, making the following weeks crucial for not only the SAR but also other currencies worldwide.Fed

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.