Steep Fluctuations Mirror Unstable ZAR Exchange Rate Trends
2024-04-22
Summary of Last Month
- Opening:
- Closing:
- Difference of Opening & Closing:
- Daily High:
- Daily Low:
- Difference of Daily High & Low:
Statistical Measures
- Mean:
- Standard Deviation:
Trend
Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates
Upon first inspection of the data, the overall trend of the ZAR exchange rate within the provided timeframe shows minor fluctuations. The rate opens at 0.07189 and closes at 0.07142, indicating a slight decrease. Still, it is seen that the currency's value does not remain constant. Instead, it oscillates between values with the maximum being 0.07197 and the minimum being 0.0713. The range shows a limited range of fluctuation in the given time frame.
Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates
The dataset provided does not offer a clear indication of seasonality or recurring patterns when focusing on hourly data. The nature of exchange rates is highly unpredictable, influenced by a multitude of global financial variables, cross-border trade activities, investor sentiments, and more. Considering the time frame of the data, defining a particular pattern or seasonality is difficult. Although the rate does not feature significant upswings or downswings, it maintains relative stability, with minute variations that do not form a discernible pattern through the given time series. Accordingly, additional data over a more extended time frame would need to be analysed to better identify any potential recurring patterns or seasonal effects.
Noting any outliers, or instances where the exchange rate differs significantly from what would be expected based on the trend or seasonality
With the very slight overall decrease in rates and the absence of a clear recurring pattern, the expectation is that most values should lie within a tight range around the mean. The maximum value in the dataset is 0.07197, and the minimum is 0.0713, indicating that the values are indeed tightly packed. Given the small range of fluctuations, there are no major outliers detected in the data set that significantly deviate from the expected value. Any slight deviance is likely due to the inherent volatility and sensitive nature of currency exchange rates.