2024-05-07 Peso Convertible News

Summary of Last Month

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Overall Trend of Exchange Rates

Based on the provided data, the CUC exchange rate shows a slight decreasing trend from 1.36875 at the start to 1.36796 towards the end of the observed period. This indicates that over the period, the exchange rate has generally decreased. However, it's important to note that the reduction was minimal and the rates mostly remained in the range of 1.36 to 1.37.

2. Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

Identifying seasonality or recurring patterns in a time-series data like this one would require a more in-depth analysis, which could include methods such as Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, or decomposition of the time-series into trend, seasonality, and residuals. However, upon visual scan of the exchange rates, we would notice some level of volatility but no clear, consistent pattern that could indicate a seasonal or recurring trend.

3. Outliers and Significant Variance in Exchange Rates

Based on the raw data given, there don't seem to be any significant outliers or instances where the exchange rate differs considerably from what would be expected based on the overall trend. All values lie relatively close to each other within a small range. Any significant variance or abrupt jumps could indicate events outside the norm but would require further analysis to confirm.

Please note, the above analysis was done narratively based on the raw data. The full benefits of time series analysis come from statistical testing and graphical representations, which are not included in this response.

May A significant wave of sharp rises and dips has marked the exchange rate of the convertible Cuban peso (CUC) in the early days of May 2024, as suggested by the recently released time-series data. This roller coaster-like trend started at midnight on May 6, 2024. The rates began the day at 1.36875 and veered through a series of crests and troughs before ending the day at a slightly lower note of about 1.36796. Such inconsistencies in exchange rates have been historically associated with economic or political uncertainties, prompting investors, analysts, and stakeholders to keep a close watch. During the day, one of the significant drops occurred around 05:10 when the rate fell from 1.3676 to an alarming low of 1.3673, a decrease of 0.0003. Nonetheless, showing resilience, the rates rebounded and continued on their trajectory exhibiting regular fluctuations throughout the day. As the day unfolded past midnight on May 7, the rates declined further to an even lower 1.36507 at 09:05, potentially sending jitters through the financial corridors. Such fluctuations are significant indicators of the economic health and can affect not only the local market but also the international stakeholders invested in Cuba''s growth. Sudden changes and irregularities in exchange rates can hint at market instability, and thus demands attention from economists and market analysts. While any immediate impact of these fluctuations is yet to be determined, these can significantly influence the purchasing power of Cubans, as well as imports and exports on a larger scale, given that Cuba operates on a dual currency system. While the causatives of this instability are still open to speculation, factors such as changes in international relations, shifts in the national economic policy, or the fluctuations in market demand and supply could play into this scenario. Looking forward, experts are keeping an eye on the trends in the CUC exchange rate, as the continuity of such fluctuations might be indicative of larger economic shifts on the horizon. Furthermore, the observers are also placing an emphasis on government policies and international trade relations that could provide a more comprehensive understanding of these undulating financial patterns. As these economic waves continue to sway, tomorrow might provide better clarity on whether these are just temporary irregularities or the precursors of a more permanent fluctuation in the fiscal landscape of Cuba. For now, all eyes remain trained on the market, awaiting the next turn in this financial saga.Rapid Fluctuations Mark CUC Exchange Rate Through Early May

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.