2024-04-26 Peso Convertible News

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Data Overview

The data represents the timestamped changes in the CUC exchange rates. The timestamps range from April 25th 00:00:02 (2024) to April 25th 23:55:02 (2024). This data covers a whole day.

Trend Analysis

Looking at the CUC exchange rates, there is a noteworthy downward trend throughout the day. The rate starts at around 1.36908 at the beginning of the day and ends up at around 1.36539. We observe some minor fluctuations throughout the day, but the overall trend shows a depreciation of the CUC exchange rate across this single day.

Identifying Seasonal Patterns

Given the data is for a single day, it's challenging to identify any yearly or monthly seasonality. However, looking at hourly data, we can see some recurring patterns. For instance, there are slight increments in the rate during some parts of the day (around 08:00, 14:00, and 22:00). However, let's note that we need data for long time periods to make sure about these patterns.

Looking for Outliers

At first glance, one noticeable peak of 1.37265 occurs around 08:15. This is significantly higher than both its preceding and succeeding rates and could potentially be an outlier. There also seems to be a sharp drop of rate to about 1.3658 at around 14:05. However, to ascertain whether these points are true outliers, we would need to apply statistical outlier detection methods or use visual faciliation such as boxplots.

Key Insights

  • The general trend over the day is a decrease in the CUC exchange rate.
  • There are minor upward fluctuations throughout the day, particularly around 08:00, 14:00, and 22:00.
  • These patterns, however, need to be validated with a larger dataset encompassing multiple days or months.
  • There are potential outliers in the dataset that need further investigation, particularly the rapid fluctuation rates around 08:15 and 14:05.
2024 Painting the picture of the foreign exchange market of the second quarter of 2024, the Cuban convertible pesos (CUC) exhibited some turbulence amid shifting economic fundamentals. Opening the day of April 25, 2024, at an exchange rate of 1.36908, the CUC experienced moderate fluctuations throughout the 24 hour trading period. The average exchange rate for the day held at around 1.3681, with the lowest rate recorded at 1.36514 and peaking altitude at 1.37265. These fluctuations are significant when pondering currency stability. Sudden spikes and drops in currency values usually hint at economic instability that might potentially impact businesses, investors, and the general population that are engaged in foreign transactions. So, what caused these movements? Several key factors weighed heavily on the events of this day. Most notably, the outdoor inflation, foreign investment, the health of the tourism industry, the effects of international diplomatic actions, and the overall health of other key economic sectors played a role in these fluctuations. The accelerating inflation rate domestically and the moderate deficit in the balance of payment does exert pressure on the CUC''s value. This was reflected later in the day when CUC depreciated to the lowest level. Despite noticeable oscillations, some resiliency was noted towards the later part of the day with CUC bouncing back from its lowest state to 1.3681. This recovery could be attributed to the market''s reaction to the Central Bank''s announcement to revisit fiscal policies to ease the tensions in the market. However, these turbulent movements were not unique to April 25th, as the week leading up to this had experienced similar patterns. This raises concerns in the financial markets while sparking debates amongst economists and investors about the future stability of the CUC. Looking ahead, the market indeed remains cautious. The Central Bank of Cuba pledging to intervene and restore stability in the foreign exchange market does provide a glimmer of hope, but speculators will be keeping a keen eye on the CUC''s performance in the wake of these promises. A word of wise from market analysts is for investors to tread with caution. The focus now will be on the Central Bank''s ability to roll out robust measures to rein in the currency''s volatility, stabilize exchange rates, and bring back investor confidence. In conclusion, the story of the CUC is a reminder that the world of foreign exchange is shaped by a myriad of factors ranging from domestic economic health to international diplomacy. Keeping abreast of these factors is essential for anyone looking to navigate this intricate and often unpredictable realm.CUC Exchange Rates Experience Some Instability in Q2 of 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.