2024-04-16 Peso Convertible News

Summary of Last Month

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  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

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Trend

1. Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates

Based on the dataset provided, it appears that the exchange rates have been moderately volatile during the period under observation. Noting specific points in the data, we direly begin at an exchange rate of approximately 1.37547, with some oscillation until we reach a low point at 1.37277 around the timestamp of 2024-04-15 08:10:03. However, the exchange rate then slowly increases to a high point at approximately 1.38135 at timestamp 2024-04-15 21:40:01, before slightly decreasing and ending within the range of 1.37995 at the final timestamp provided.

2. Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns

As for seasonality or recurring patterns within the data, it appears the rates follow a slightly sinusoidal wave indicating some level of cyclic behavior. However, we cannot definitively conclude any daily or weekly patterns from the given dataset. Confirmation of such would require a more extended period of data that includes entire weeks or months.

3. Noting any outliers

In terms of outliers, a comprehensive statistical test was not conducted; however, based on a preliminary visual scan of the information, there's no outrageous spike or drop in the exchange rates which could be deemed as 'outliers'. The data stream seems to yo-yo within a constrained range. However, conducting a rigorous statistical test such as the Grubbs' test is recommended to catch any subtle outliers not immediately visible.

Please note that this data analysis doesn't take into account external factors such as market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or any key financial news and reports, which can significantly influence such time series data.

April 15 On April 15, 2024, financial markets saw unusual fluctuations in the exchange rate of the Cuban Convertible Peso (CUC), indicating a series of abrupt changes across financial transactions throughout the day. The trading day started with the CUC at a rate of 1.37547. A series of fluctuating peaks and troughs saw the rate top at 1.38135 and drop to a low of 1.37277. This divergence from the typical stability shows an unprecedented day of volatility, raising alarms among stakeholders. This abrupt commotion in rates is irregular for a usually steady market, sparking intrigue among investors and analysts who observe the CUC currency closely. The causes of this volatility remain unclear, although they could be related to sudden geopolitical shifts, changing governmental policies, or sharp swings in the broader global economy. Market analysts note that this particular day of trading was characterized by volatility rather than a distinct upward or downward trajectory. While it is common for the rates to fluctuate in the course of a day, such peaks and troughs over a single day reflect a turbulent day for the CUC. The exact impact this volatility will have on the economy is yet to be fully understood. The unexpected fluctuations will likely foster an atmosphere of uncertainty, impacting everything from tourism to trade and foreign investment in Cuba. Moreover, the unsettling rates could potentially affect the purchasing power of consumers, which in turn, may impact businesses'' profitability, fuel inflation, and alter economic growth projections. Moreover, Cubans relying on diaspora remittances will be keenly feeling the exchange rate shifts. Frequent and rapid swings could significantly affect the value of the money they receive. For those depending on these funds, the day''s oscillations would have been a roller coaster ride. Looking ahead, the market will be under the microscope by investors and economists, who will be closely monitoring the CUC''s performance in the coming days. The trajectory of the currency will serve as an indicator for the overall health of the Cuban economy and provide vital clues about the future trends of the market. Should this unprecedented day of fluctuations turn out to be more than a one-off, we could expect a lasting effect on the Cuban economy at large and how it interacts with the global market. However, whether this incident was an aberration or a sign of more turbulence to come, is something that only time will disclose. With the world on its edge due to the sudden shifts, stakeholders and participants are advised to keep a close watch on the market happenings. As uncertainty continues to loom, understanding how to navigate and respond to these changes will be crucial for businesses, investors, and the Cuban public at large. As the story unfolds, the lessons learnt will undoubtedly leave an indelible impact on the financial landscape.Unprecedented Volatility in CUC Exchange Rates Seen Over April 15

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.