2024-04-29 Pa Anga News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

When looking at the dataset given, it appears that the exchange rates fluctuate over the period with slight incremental advancement. However, there don't appear to be drastic fluctuations in the dataset by considerable margins, hence the exchange rates maintain somewhat of a relative stability throughout the period. There are intervals when the exchange rate has dipped, however, these instances have been counterbalanced by the values subsequently rising again reaching near previous levels or occasionally even surpassing them. Such continual rebound symbolizing an underlying degree of resilience in the given exchange rates.

2. Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Analyzing seasonality in financial time-series data often involves efforts to recognize and account for predictable and repeatable patterns that occur at regular intervals due to seasonal factors. In the provided dataset, it appears that the fluctuations in the exchange rate do not directly correlate with a specific time of the day or month, prompting conclusions that no clear pattern or seasonality stands out. Yet a hypothesis of a particular seasonality present would require broader datasets and more advanced time-series methodologies to take into account minute variations.

3. Outliers in Exchange Rates

Outliers are typically the individual values that deviate significantly from the majority of data. In this dataset, because the exchange rates do not show drastic shifts, identifying potential outliers would require statistical methods like the use of the Interquartile Range (IQR) or Z-scores. Based on basic observation though, there look to be no drastic spikes or drops which could be easily considered as outliers in the given dataset.

For a more in-depth analysis, using statistical methods alongside data visualization tools like line graphs and box plots would enable more precise identification of trends, seasonality, and outliers. Also, a larger dataset spanning a more extensive timeframe would further aid in understanding the exchange rate behaviors and identifying significant patterns.

cial Markets A close look at the dynamism of global currency markets reveals a roller-coaster ride of the exchange rates. The fluctuation of these rates between the 29th of March 2024 and the 26th of April 2024 marks a period of intensity in the financial markets which is likely to have a notable effect on international transactions and investments. The intense period saw the currency exchange rate begin at 0.56993 on March 29. The first few days portrayed slight variations across each hour. However, this turned into a tangible downward trend on April 1st, with the rate stooping as low as 0.56725 by April 3. However, the market sprang back to life by mid-week, depicting a consistent upward trend throughout the remaining days of the week until it peeked at 0.57284 on April 8. Following this slight climb, the rates experienced a short-term decrease over the next two days, before jumping to a high point of 0.57826 on April 10. Now, this significant rise of approximately 1.5% may seem trivial to the untrained eye. Still, any financial market expert would understand the potential implications of this, considering that large-scale international transactions often involve huge sums of money. Even a small percentage increase like this can lead to substantial financial gains or losses depending on the side of the transaction one is in. However, the subsequent period from April 11 to April 25 again depicted considerable volatility as rates plummeted to 0.57166 on April 25. This downward trend indicates a sign of potential instability that can add risk to global trade and investment, potentially deterring more risk-averse investors from the international market. Why is this important? Fluctuating exchange rates alter the relative costs of goods and services from different economies, influencing patterns of international trade. Rate volatility can also significantly impact investors through changes in asset prices and returns. Therefore, these changes are set to have significant implications for traders and investors dealing with global financial markets. In light of this, the focus is now on central banks'' responses to the volatility of the exchange rates. Will they adjust interest rates to stabilize their currencies or adopt measures aligned with the uncertainties that COVID-19 continues to present to the economy? Only time will tell. In conclusion, as we venture further into 2024, market participants should brace themselves for more uncertainties. It would be wise for those involved in trading, investing, or conducting business reliant on these rates to monitor the markets for further fluctuations and prepare for the resulting potential impacts on global financial markets.Global Exchange Rate Volatility Expected to Affect Financial Markets

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.