2024-04-29 Nuevo Sol News
2024-04-28
Summary of Last Week
- Opening:
- Closing:
- Difference of Opening & Closing:
- Daily High:
- Daily Low:
- Difference of Daily High & Low:
Statistical Measures
- Mean:
- Standard Deviation:
Trend
Overall Trend of Exchange Rates
Upon reviewing the dataset, it's clear that the fluctuations in the PEN exchange rates exhibit a general upward trend. Specifically, the series begins with a value of 0.36413, gradually increases, and concludes at a higher value of 0.36371. Though there are numerous peaks and troughs in the data, the broad tendency is one of increasing exchange rates.
Seasonality or Recurring Patterns
An extensive review of the series doesn't indicate any clear seasonality or recurring patterns. However, it's vital to recognize that the lack of a discernible pattern could be due to the relatively short timeline of data provided. Typically, discerning seasonality requires a longer series – often several years of data. It's also worth noting that time-series data, such as stock or currency exchange rates, are renowned for their unpredictability and resistance to patterned behavior, primarily responding to multiple micro and macroeconomic factors.
Outliers in the Data
Examining the dataset reveals several periods where the exchange rate changes differentiate significantly from the typical range of movement within the period under consideration. For instance, there are peaks observed at 0.3697, 0.37211, 0.37273, and troughs at 0.36357, 0.36362 – illustrating sudden increases and decreases, respectively, in the exchange rate value. If these outliers coincide with 'high impact' market data releases or geopolitical events, they could represent typical behavior. Nevertheless, without supplementary information, it's hard to define the exact cause of these outliers.
It's also critical to stress that without applying accepted outlier detection methodologies or without a predetermined threshold for what constitutes an 'outlier', merely looking at the highest and lowest values within the dataset limits this observation.