2024-05-13 Nepalese Rupee News

Summary of Last Week

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  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
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  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

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  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates

The dataset provided essentially follows a similar pattern of fluctuation across the period under review. The exchange rates do not show a major ascending or descending trend; instead, they maintain stability with minor variations. The NPR exchange rate began at a value of 0.01028 on the 12th April 2024 and concluded at a value of 0.01023 on the 10th May 2024. The dataset registered slight increase and decrease in rates throughout, but the overall trend indicates a stable exchanging rate over the period shown under analysis.

2. Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates

Upon investigation of the data, it seems that there is no clear seasonality or recurring patterns observed in the change of exchange rates. The rates across the period do not display consistent peaks or troughs, which signifies the absence of seasonality. Moreover, the rates do not demonstrate any evidence of consistent cycles or patterns recurring at regular intervals. Hence, it can be concluded that the data lacks noticeable seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates.

3. Noting any outliers, or instances where the exchange rate differs significantly from what would be expected based on the trend or seasonality

In the given dataset, it's hard to identify outliers as the exchange rate remains relatively stable, with very minor fluctuations. These minute fluctuations are typical in financial time-series data like exchange rates. Moreover, since there aren't any significant operational shifts or drastic changes observed in the dataset, it's safe to conclude that there are no outliers that differ markedly from the general trend or seasonality.

Please note that this analysis is based on data pattern observations. A more detailed investigation can lead to different insights and may require the application of sophisticated time-series analysis methodologies or machine learning models.

April 2024 has been a particularly stable month for the exchange rates of the Nepalese Rupee (NPR), as data from the past 30 days show. Throughout the month, exchange rates haven''t deviated significantly, thereby demonstrating steadiness and affecting foreign trade and investment. Since the beginning of the month, NPR exchange rates have hovered between 0.01023 and 0.01034. The maximum rate was registered midway through the first half of the month, reaching 0.01034 on specific dates including April 12th and 15th. Meanwhile, at the end of the month and into May, the exchange rates dipped marginally to their lowest at 0.01023. Despite these minor fluctuations, the overall stability of NPR exchange rates is a significant phenomena. Stability in exchange rates is an important factor that international investors and businesses consider while making their investment decisions. Stability results in decreased risks associated with foreign exchange, which can increase the attractiveness of an economy in the eyes of foreign investors, supporting increased foreign direct investment (FDI). In addition, such steadiness in currency value can foster trade by reducing uncertainty. When the exchange rates are stable, businesses are likely to increase cross-border transactions as the fear of currency depreciation lessens. Also, this constant stability might be due to the macroeconomic policies that the Nepalese government and the central bank have implemented, such as the maintenance of foreign exchange reserves and disciplined fiscal management, aiming to ensure consistency and predictability in the financial markets, subsequently building investor confidence. However, it is also notable that such exceptional stability can lead to a state of complacency. Continuous stability could signal a lack of response to global economic dynamics, which can ultimately lead to potential imbalances. Thus, it’s crucial for regulators to maintain a balanced approach, sustaining stability while being responsive to economic indicators and shifts. Looking forward, investors and traders should carefully watch the NPR''s behavior. It will be interesting to note how the exchange rates might fluctify in response to any significant global economic events or changes in domestic fiscal policies. Given the recent stability, even a minor change could reverberate through the foreign exchange markets. In conclusion, it''s safe to say that the previous month had been distinctive with respect to the remarkable stability witnessed in NPR''s exchange rates. This has implications across different sectors - ranging from foreign trade and investment to financial planning. While it is crucial to monitor the NPR''s stability trend in the coming months, one cannot undermine the significant bearings it currently has on the country''s external economic engagements.Enduring Stability Observed in NPR Exchange Rates

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.