2024-05-21 Nakfa News

Summary of Last Month

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Analysis of the Exchange Rates

The provided dataset includes time series data of ERN (Eritrean Nakfa) exchange rates measured at different timestamps throughout the day on 20th May 2024. Here are the findings after a detailed analysis of the data.

1. Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

Upon reviewing the data, there appears to be a slight upward trend in the exchange rate over the course of the day. When the day began at 00:00:02, the exchange rate was 0.09068, and by day's end at 23:55:02, it had increased to 0.09093. This denotes a very marginal yet consistent rise in the currency's value. However, the fluctuations within the day have been minimal, and the exchange rate has remained in a close range, suggesting a generally stable currency value throughout the day.

2. Seasonality or Recurring Patterns in the Exchange Rates

In the given dataset, it is quite challenging to identify any specific seasonality or recurring patterns within a single day's data due to the short time-frame. For a stable currency such as ERN, fluctuations within a single day are often minimal and random. However, it can be noted that there are multiple instances when the rate increases slightly, followed by a subtle decrease, creating somewhat a wavy pattern, but this doesn't necessarily indicate a strong recurring trend or seasonality.

3. Outliers in the Exchange Rates

When observing the exchange rates throughout the day, no significant outliers were detected. Most of the rates, from the start to end of the series, consistently range within a very close band, demonstrating very slight variance when the rate changes. Therefore, we can infer that the ERN exchange rate remained rather stable on the 20th May 2024.

hout May 20, 2024 The exchange rate of the Eritrean Nakfa (ERN) displayed a steady increase during various timestamps throughout May 20, 2024, according to recently analyzed financial data. The dataset, comprising time-series data, commenced tracking the ERN exchange rate from the start of the day at 0.09068. As the day proceeded, the exchange rate saw a gradual rise, closing the day at 0.09093. This trend emphasizes the subtle yet steady strength displayed by the ERN throughout the day. While there were seldomly some slight drops in the rate, the enduring pattern of the day was an uptick. The highest increase was observed around 21:15, where the ERN exchange rate peaked at 0.09096. Overall, the exchange rate maintained a steady climb during the 24-hour period, indicating a positive trend for the ERN. The stable climb of the ERN’s exchange rate reflects the underlying strength of the Eritrean economy on this particular day. Various factors such as positive market sentiments, sound national economic policies, or foreign trade relationships can contribute to such a favorable scenario. Understanding the intricacies of exchange rate variations is crucial for traders, investors, and policy makers, as it provides insights into the economic situation of a country. A stable or increasing exchange rate is generally viewed as a sign of healthy economic prospects, which attracts foreign investments. Moreover, individuals and businesses engaged in international trade or transactions are immensely influenced by these fluctuations. Optimizing their timing for currency exchange can result in significant financial advantages, especially in high-value transactions. However, it is worth noting that while a single day''s upswing in exchange rates paints a positive short-term picture, it should not be seen as an absolute indicator of long-term economic performance. Market fluctuations are influenced by a myriad of interconnected factors that may morph over time, rendering today''s opportunities obsolete tomorrow. Therefore, a thorough understanding of the global economic climate, as well as close monitoring of long-term exchange rate trends, plays a significant role in making informed, profit-maximizing decisions. Looking ahead from May 20, readers should be on the lookout for both national and international economic indicators that could impact the ERN’s stability. Things such as changes in trade policies, global economic events, or significant developments within Eritrea’s economy can dramatically sway the current trend witnessed. As it stands, the steady stride of the ERN exchange rate experienced on this single day speaks to healthy market conditions, boding well for its near future performance.Incremental Uptick Observed in ERN Exchange Rates Throughout May 20, 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.