2024-05-16 Nakfa News

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysing Overall Trend

After reviewing the dataset provided, the overall trend for exchange rates appears to be relatively stable over the given time period. The exchange rate starts at 0.09098 and ends at 0.09071, showing a marginal decrease. During this time, there are no substantial peaks or troughs; instead, the rate fluctuates moderately around a mean value, suggesting a stable trend. There does not seem to be a consistent increase or decrease in rates over the given period.

Identifying Seasonality

Given the nature of the dataset and the narrow window of time it covers (only a few days), it's not possible to derive any strong seasonality or recurring patterns. Typically, patterns related to exchange rates require months or years of data to discern seasonal variances. As such, this dataset does not provide enough evidence to conclude the existence of seasonality.

Investigating Outliers

Regarding outliers, the dataset does not show any instances of values deviating significantly from the overall trend. The exchange rates maintain a rather steady fluctuation around the same mean, without manifesting major spikes or drops. Therefore, it seems there are no significant outliers that would impact the overall trend within the given time frame.

Summary

In conclusion, the exchange rate over the given time period is mostly stable without any notable trend of increase or decrease. There is no discernible seasonality. The absence of significant outliers confirms the stability of the data and suggests that it was not influenced by any external factors during this period. As such, it's fair to say that the exchange rate for ERN in this time period remains relatively steady, with minor fluctuations that are expected within any financial time series data.

in a Single Day The financial world witnessed a notable shift in the currency markets on May 15, 2024, as the exchange rate for the Eritrean Nakfa (ERN) experienced significant fluctuations throughout the day. The variations occurred in short intervals, painting a remarkable picture of currency volatility. In the morning hours, the ERN started the day at 0.09098 around midnight, slightly dropping by 0.00005 points by 01:00 AM and maintained a similar trend till 03:15 AM when it hit a record low of 0.09087. The values hovered around the same level for a while before a minor increase was found around 04:20 AM, peaking at 0.09089 at 05:45 AM. The lowest point in the ERN exchange rate was recorded at 10:35 AM when it dipped to 0.09064. A recovery phase set in around noon, lifting the exchange rates to 0.09068 by 12:45 PM. However, the rates continued the downward trend until 7:00 PM, shrugging off multiple attempts to recover. The overall picture can be described as a roller coaster ride of ups and downs characterized by volatility throughout the trading day. These fluctuations in the ERN exchange rates offer traders an opportunity to profit from short-term trading strategies based on rapid changes in currency values. The market''s volatility indicates the increasing uncertainty amongst investors over local and global economic conditions and policy changes. While volatility is not unusual in currency markets, this level of fluctuation within a single day''s trading is notable. It''s essential to note that while these movements are significant, they are relatively standard in a floating currency regime where supply and demand factors determine exchange rates. Changes in these rates reflect variations in the economic fundamentals of the nation and speculations about future policy actions. Looking ahead, traders and investors will be focusing on the market trajectory and economic indicators to gauge possible trends in the ERN exchange rate. With the severe shifts seen, there may be heightened volatility in the upcoming trading periods. As many sectors traverse through these uncertain times, global market watchers will be anticipating economic policy announcements that can shape the direction of ERN and other currencies. Furthermore, economic stakeholders might need to adjust their fiscal policies to smooth out the potential impacts of these unpredictable currency swings.Significant Fluctuations in ERN Exchange Rates Recorded in a Single Day

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.