2024-05-06 Nakfa News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Overall trend of the exchange rates:

The overall trend of the exchange rates seems to fluctuate. Looking over the data presented, the exchange rate appears to oscillate between 0.0904 and 0.0922. This is a relatively small band of fluctuation, suggesting that the exchange rates show a degree of stability over the period in question. However, slight upward and downward trends can be observed within this period.

2. Seasonality or recurring patterns:

Loading at the data, the exchange rate does not display a clear pattern of seasonality or frequently recurring fluctuations. The value seems more randomized and doesn't show a conspicuous pattern or cycle matching with specific times or dates. Nevertheless, this assumption needs a more specific time series analysis, such as Autocorrelation Function (ACF), to confirm.

3. Outliers:

With the data at hand, there don't seem to be any severe outliers where the exchange rate moves significantly from the established range of 0.0904 to 0.0922. However, the moments when this rate pushes the upper or lower bounds of this range could potentially be seen as mild outliers in this data set. For instance, the minimum value of 0.09038 and the maximum of 0.09219 could be seen as such. A more comprehensive statistical analysis would be necessary to definitively identify outliers, and this could include an Interquartile Range (IQR) analysis or Z-score method.

4. NOTE:

It's important to remember this analysis does not consider the influence of external factors like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, nor the release of key financial news and reports. Given how these factors can significantly impact exchange rates, a more in-depth analysis considering these elements may bring different insights.

Trend In a recent turn of events, a clear upward trend in the exchange rates of Eritrean Nakfa (ERN) has been recorded. This uptick, witnessed over the last month, has sparked interest among market watchers and stirred optimism in financial circles. A detailed analysis of ERN exchange rates over the past four weeks presents a promising picture. The initial phase of the series data, from April 5th to April 8th, shows a marginal increment from 0.09045 to 0.09067. In the subsequent days, this growth sustained albeit at a slower pace. However, a significant leap was noticed on April 10th, where the exchange rate shot up to 0.09128 marking the start of a robust growth phase. This rise, although minor hiccups were evident, continued till April 12th when ERN peaked at 0.09189. Such a strong bullish run showcases the strength of Eritrea''s economy despite the global uncertainties that shadow the financial markets today. Interrupting the upward trend, a period of stagnation ensued from April 15th to April 26th where the ERN hovered around the 0.091 mark. This stagnation, however, proved to be the calm before the storm. On April 30th, the ERN exchange rate soared to an impressive high of 0.09187 signifying strong economic performance and investor confidence in the Eritrean market. The steady increase in ERN''s exchange rates reflects well on the state of Eritrea''s economy. It indicates a period of economic growth propelled by sound fiscal policies, international trade, and a favorable business environment. However, it is crucial to understand the broader, global context to truly appreciate this positive turn. In a climate where currencies fluctuate rapidly, influenced by geopolitical events and pandemic-induced instability, ERN''s consistent rise marks a semblance of stability and positive growth in Eritrean markets. What does this imply for the future? For investors, it presents the opportunity to possibly diversify their portfolios and consider investment avenues in foreign exchange. For businesses considering international expansion, Eritrea might be a viable destination. As the ERN continues its upward march, all eyes are now set on the next month''s data. Will the ERN continue its growth streak? Or would any global economic event cause a shift in momentum? These are crucial areas to watch for market watchers and financial analysts. In conclusion, strong points of growth, followed by consolidations, best describe the ERN''s performance over the last month. This signals a healthy and growing economy that can withstand slight pressures and continue in its positive trend. The next month''s figures are keenly awaited to confirm this trend and to give clearer indications about Eritrea''s economic landscape. Surge in ERN Exchange Rates Indicate Positive Economic Trend

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.