2024-04-16 Nakfa News

Summary of Last Month

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend

The exchange rates in the provided dataset show a very slight but nearly negligible upward trend. The rate starts at 0.0917 and ends at 0.09201, showing a minor increase over time. Please note that while this can suggest a slow strengthening of the ERN currency relative to its counterpart during this period, the change is so small that it may be within the margin of error or may be influenced by other external factors not considered in this analysis.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

In this dataset, a clear seasonality or recurring pattern in the exchange rate changes is hard to identify. The exchange rates fluctuate within a very narrow range, and their changes seem random rather than showing a clear, predictable pattern. This could be due to the relatively short period covered by the dataset, or it could mean that the exchange rates are influenced more by unpredictable factors than by regular, repeating influences.

Outliers

The dataset does not seem to contain significant outliers. All exchange rates fluctuated within a very narrow range between 0.09152 and 0.09209, which suggests that there were no instances of the rate differing significantly from the overall trend.

l 15, 2024 The ERN exchange rate showcased conspicuous tiny oscillations on Monday, April 15, 2024 according to the time series data analysed. This information has potential implications for both traders and businesses engaged in export and import with the country utilizing ERN as their official currency. The ERN, a financial instrument whose value is of high interest to investors and corporations, manifested a minor bounce throughout the day. Starting from 0.0917 at the beginning of the day, the rate peaked slightly at 0.09209 in the late evening, highlighting a potentially promising but negligible upward trend. The back-and-forth fluctuations, albeit insignificant, exhibit ERN''s relative stability for the day in question, a trend of neutrality for the investors. This shifted slightly in favour of a more bullish standpoint towards the close of the day. With exchange rates constantly amending due to economic factors including supply and demand in the currency market, geopolitical events, and interest rates, the daily adjustment explored here, although slight, could still have implications in the long run. From an economic perspective, consistent stability in a country''s currency rate signifies a healthy balance of trade. It implies that the amount of goods and services the nation imports is nearly identical to what it exports. Consequently, businesses and companies operating in the country could be positively influenced by these factors, cultivating a more favorable and predictable environment for potential investment and trade. No significant variations throughout the day imply that ERN''s exchange rate was less volatile to notorious market forces on this specific date. Thus, to discern short-term currency trading strategies, investors and financial analysts monitor these minute shifts. Nevertheless, the real gain usually lies in identifying and leveraging long-term trends which form over weeks or months. While the slight rise in trade might encourage optimistic investors, it is crucial to contextualize that the currency market is inherently complex. The upward trend seen here, though seemingly insignificant in the short-term, if consistent over an extended period, could prove beneficial for traders and investors. Looking ahead, investors and financial analysts should continue to monitor ERN’s exchange rate for potential patterns signaling profitable trading strategies. Future developments, both domestically and globally, and changes in trade practices and policies, could influence ERN’s stability and should, therefore, be watched meticulously. Therefore, the key takeaway for economic stakeholders is to never underestimate the power of minor fluctuations, as they may contribute to the bigger trend in the future.Minor Fluctuations Observed in ERN Exchange Rate on April 15, 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.