2024-05-06 Naira News

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Understanding the Overall Trend of The Exchange Rates

Analyzing the given dataset, it seems that the exchange rates from April to May 2024 have experienced some ups and downs. However, if we examine the beginning and the end of the interval, the exchange rates have decreased slightly. It started at around 0.00103 on April 5th and fell to 0.00098 on May 3rd. This implies largely a downward trend in exchange rates during this particular timeframe.

Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Regarding the seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates, the data does not clearly denote any daily seasonality trends. As data points do not cover every hour of each day, it would be inappropriate to draw any conclusions on daily patterns of fluctuation. We can, however, observe that there are some prominent fluctuations which occur throughout this time frame. Fluctuations appear to be more correlated with specific dates rather than specific times of a daily cycle. To more conclusively determine seasonality trends, more consistent and extensive data coverage would be needed.

Noting Any Outliers

As for outlining any significant anomalies or outliers in the data, there are a few significant jumps and falls in the exchange rates. For instance, the value went from 0.0011 on April 11th to 0.00115 on April 12th, and then back to 0.0011 on the same day. Another example is the rate decreasing from 0.00128 on April 22nd to 0.00115 on the same day. It's important to note that these outliers don't necessarily signal a problem or error; instead, they might indicate significant market events. However, further contextual information is needed to affirm this.

Please note that these observations are based purely on the provided dataset. Further, more detailed analysis could refine these findings.

Naira in April 2024 The Nigerian Naira (NGN), the official currency for one of Africa''s largest economies, has seen significant volatility in exchange rates throughout April 2024. Notably, the rate fluctuated from 0.00103 to 0.0012, reaching the peak value by mid-April, before declining to 0.00098, which is one of the lowest values seen in April, a trend raising significant eyebrows among market observes and stakeholders. This intriguing roller coaster ride of the exchange rate began in the early days of April, with the exchange rate relatively stable at 0.00103. However, by the 5th of April, there was a notable increase to 0.00109, marking the beginning of the persistent escalation that would peak on the 15th, with the rate reaching an impressive 0.0012. In what investors and economists have described as an unexpected spin, the rate nosedived to 0.00098 by the end of the same month. This fluctuation sparked a lot of interest, with many speculating on the possible causes and future implications. Various factors could be attributed to these sharp fluctuations. Some analysts point to the changes in the global oil prices - a significant driver of Nigeria''s economy- while others point to the country’s internal fiscal policies and external debts. Either way, these changes affect a broad range of sectors - from banking, international trade, investments to the price of goods and services within the country. From an investor''s perspective, while these movements convey an element of risk, they equally offer investment opportunities for those who can accurately predict the currency’s movements. Additionally, businesses that rely on import and export are significantly affected as these fluctuations directly impact product prices, profit margins, and overall business strategy. Looking ahead, it is in the interest of both local and foreign investors to keep an eye on the movement of the NGN. More so, deeper exploration into the primary drivers of these movements would be beneficial to predict future fluctuations. The Nigerian government is equally challenged to foster a more stable economic environment that would bring about a more predictable NGN exchange rate. This is a crucial moment for Nigeria''s economy, as financial experts around the world keep a keen eye on these developments. While the recent volatility gives cause for concern, it equally serves as an opportunity for lessons learnt and prompts necessary adjustments that need to be implemented for smoother economic sailing.Sharp Exchange Rate Fluctuations Experience by Nigerian Naira in April 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.