Surge in NGN Exchange Rates Sparks Optimism for Investors
2024-04-21
Summary of Last Week
- Opening:
- Closing:
- Difference of Opening & Closing:
- Daily High:
- Daily Low:
- Difference of Daily High & Low:
Statistical Measures
- Mean:
- Standard Deviation:
Trend
The dataset provided is a time-series data that highlights the changes in NGN exchange rate from March 22nd, 2024 till April 19th, 2024. On a closer examination, insights were drawn considering the overall trend of the rates, seasonality, and outliers. Please note that no external factors like market openings/closure, weekends/holidays, or release of pivotal financial news and reports have been considered as part of this analysis as requested.
1. Understanding the Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates
An observation of the NGN exchange rates shows that the rates have overall increased throughout the period. The rate starts at around 0.00096 on March 22nd, 2024 and increases to reach at 0.00128 by April 19th, 2024. Generally, there are fluctuations throughout the period, but the general trend portrays an increment in the rates.
2. Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns in the Changes of Exchange Rates
In terms of seasonality or recurring patterns, a daily pattern is observed where reductions in the exchange rate mostly occur around 12:00 to 14:00. This can be considered as a 'dip' after which there is a relative increase in the rates. However, the extent and frequency of this fluctuation vary throughout the period.
3. Noting Any Outliers in the Exchange Rates
There were several significant changes noticed in the data where the rate differed from the general trend. For instance, there was a significant jump in the exchange rate from 0.0011 to 0.00115 on April 12th, 2024. Additionally, a notable drop can be observed from 0.0012 to 0.00118 between April 17th, 2024 and April 18th, 2024 which contradicts the general increasing trend of the dataset. These can be suggested as outliers within this dataset.
Overall, while making financial decisions based on this dataset, it is pivotal to consider that while the general trend of the exchange rates is increasing, there is notable daily volatility and occasional significant rate changes contradicting the trend.
Please Note
This analysis is performed based solely on the provided dataset. The inclusion of external factors like market operating hours, holidays or financial news updates may influence the actual behaviour of the rates and should be included for a comprehensive forecasting.