2024-05-06 Moroccan Dirham News
2024-05-05
Summary of Last Week
- Opening:
- Closing:
- Difference of Opening & Closing:
- Daily High:
- Daily Low:
- Difference of Daily High & Low:
Statistical Measures
- Mean:
- Standard Deviation:
Trend
First, let's load and analyze the provided dataset. Since it is a time-series data, a line graph might be appropriate to visualize the trend.Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates
Overall, the exchange rates appear to be unstable with a somewhat random fluctuation. The range of changes is between approximately 0.134 and 0.137, with some outliers reaching as low as 0.02455 at one point. There's no apparent upward or downward trend, and rates don't display a consistent pattern of change from one timestamp to another. Both rises and falls in the exchange rate can occur within short time intervals.
Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates
Since the data provided does not encompass a whole year (only April and May are covered), it's challenging to discern any concrete seasonal patterns. Still, there are occasions when the exchange rate fluctuation exhibits a daily pattern of rising and falling within a small range. However, these patterns do not consistently reappear on a weekly or monthly basis. Hence, the data does not exhibit clear seasonality or cyclical patterns.
Noting any outliers
One prominent outlier in the data occurs on April 16th, 2024, when the exchange rate drops significantly to 0.02455. This data point is significantly lower than all other values and seems to be a typographical error or a system glitch rather than a genuine rate fluctuation.
Consideration of external factors
As requested, this analysis is solely based on the data provided and didn't take any external factors like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports into consideration.
Generating a forecast for future rates
As per your request, no forecast was generated for future rates.
This preliminary analysis provides some insights into the exchange rate fluctuations but lacks granularity due to absence of more detailed information such as the currency pair involved or other economic indicators. Further in-depth analysis could be achieved through comprehensive model building using advanced statistical tools and techniques.