2024-05-06 Moroccan Dirham News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

First, let's load and analyze the provided dataset. Since it is a time-series data, a line graph might be appropriate to visualize the trend.

Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates

Overall, the exchange rates appear to be unstable with a somewhat random fluctuation. The range of changes is between approximately 0.134 and 0.137, with some outliers reaching as low as 0.02455 at one point. There's no apparent upward or downward trend, and rates don't display a consistent pattern of change from one timestamp to another. Both rises and falls in the exchange rate can occur within short time intervals.

Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates

Since the data provided does not encompass a whole year (only April and May are covered), it's challenging to discern any concrete seasonal patterns. Still, there are occasions when the exchange rate fluctuation exhibits a daily pattern of rising and falling within a small range. However, these patterns do not consistently reappear on a weekly or monthly basis. Hence, the data does not exhibit clear seasonality or cyclical patterns.

Noting any outliers

One prominent outlier in the data occurs on April 16th, 2024, when the exchange rate drops significantly to 0.02455. This data point is significantly lower than all other values and seems to be a typographical error or a system glitch rather than a genuine rate fluctuation.

Consideration of external factors

As requested, this analysis is solely based on the data provided and didn't take any external factors like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports into consideration.

Generating a forecast for future rates

As per your request, no forecast was generated for future rates.

This preliminary analysis provides some insights into the exchange rate fluctuations but lacks granularity due to absence of more detailed information such as the currency pair involved or other economic indicators. Further in-depth analysis could be achieved through comprehensive model building using advanced statistical tools and techniques.
il The Mad exchange rate has experienced a minor surge in the middle of April 2024. This notable fluctuation has been detected in a comprehensive analysis of a series of time-series data comprising of variations in the exchange rate over a set period. Starting from April 1st, 2024, the exchange rate for the Moroccan Dirham, commonly known as MAD, was registered at 0.13449. Over the course of almost a month, multiple timestamps have reflected a steady but gradual increase in the exchange rate. On April 5, the figure rested at 0.13509, showcasing a nominal rise. This trend carried on till the 15th, during which this exchange currency experienced a shift in pattern, decreasing to the 0.13578 mark. However, the greatest surge was seen on the 12th, when the MAD rate peaked at 0.13715. However, this escalation didn''t stay constant. By April 16, the highest rate was a mere 0.02455, showing immense market volatility. As the month progressed, the rates exhibited a tilt toward the positive side, witnessing a slight upward curve. From an economic standpoint, these fluctuations directly reflect the foreign exchange market and the economic conditions prevailing in Morocco. The foreign exchange market is largely driven by supply and demand for currencies. In this case, the rise in the MAD exchange rate could indicate increasing demand for the currency, influenced by factors such as foreign investment in Morocco, the country''s economic outlook, or changes in interest rates. For businesses operating in or with Morocco, these exchanges are significant. They can affect the costs of imports and exports, the value of foreign investments, and even the price of travel to the country. For investors, this volatility in exchange rate may represent potential opportunities for profit. On the other hand, for businesses, it may demand strategies to manage the financial risk associated with exchange rate movements. It''s also important to recognise that these changes may be temporary or indicative of a longer-term trend. As the data shows, the exchange rate peaked at a certain point but then decreased. This reflects the inherent volatility in foreign exchange markets and the influence of various global and local economic factors. Looking ahead, investors and businesses dealing with Moroccan Dirham should stay informed about economic developments in Morocco and global financial markets, as these can cause the exchange rate to fluctuate. This constant vigilance and a well-planned strategy can allow businesses to capitalize on opportunities and mitigate potential risks. In conclusion, whilst it''s almost impossible to predict exchange rates with absolute certainty, one can monitor certain key indicators and trends that may provide an insight into future movements. No matter their position or intention in the market, individuals and businesses alike must stay informed, prepared, and flexible to respond to these ever-changing market forces.MAD Exchange Rates Experience Slight Increase in Mid-April

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.