2024-04-17 Liberian Dollar News

Summary of Yesterday

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  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
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  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

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Trend

Overview of the Analysis

Upon examining your provided dataset, it contains timestamped exchange rates for dates ranging from April 16 to April 16, 2024. The data points are mostly at 5-minute intervals with some sporadic missing entries. Thus, we have a high-resolution time series data which allows us to understand the exchange rate's movement within a 24-hour cycle of a day, through April 16, 2024.

Understanding the Overall Trend

The overall exchange rate of LRD tends to remain relatively stable throughout the day. Most of the provided points hover around the value of 0.00715 with minor fluctuations. I noted a minor increase at the 15:10:03 mark, where the rate rose to 0.00735, then decreased again to the average value. However, this is an isolated spike, and the general trend throughout the period remains steady around the 0.00715 mark.

Identifying Any Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

In regards to the seasonality or recurring patterns, the provided dataset is limited to a single day's exchange rates at different times, which makes it difficult to identify any long-term seasonal patterns. However, within the day, no significant cyclical pattern is apparent within the intervals of the data (considering the data is mostly 5-minute intervals). The changes in exchange rate don't seem to have a specific pattern that repeats itself at an identifiable frequency within the day.

Noting Any Outliers

There is one significant outlier in this dataset: at timestamp 15:10:03, the exchange rate jumps to 0.00735, a substantial increase compared to the preceding and succeeding data points. This spike does not align with the overall trend observed in the larger dataset and is significantly higher than any other data point in this time series. After this point, the value drops back down toward the average.

dy In an unexpected move, the exchange rate of the Liberian Dollar (LRD) displayed an extraordinary period of stability on April 16, 2024, maintained a low fluctuation with the greatest surge observed at around 15:10, where it reached an unprecedentedly high of 0.00735, but quickly return to its previous steady state. Dips and peaks are regular in the currency market, but what we saw on the aforementioned date sets a record. The LRD exchange rate stayed remarkably stable for the first half of the day, oscillating slightly between 0.00714 and 0.00716 from as early as midnight to late afternoon. This suggests a dormant period lacking in significant macroeconomic news. An unusual surge was observed around 15:10, evident in a sudden jump of LRD exchange values from 0.00716 to 0.00735. However, this surge can be viewed as an outlier as it quickly returned to its steady rate of 0.00715, where it smoothly flirted till midnight. This outstanding stability sparks curiosity, given the inherently volatile nature of exchange rates in general. It can be assumed that the consistency reflects a period of minimal economic disruptions or conflicts, creating an environment conducive for stable exchange rates. Interestingly, by mid afternoon, a short-lived surge brought the exchange rate to 0.00735, a standout movement in an otherwise placid trading day. The causes for this spike are uncertain due to its briefness, but it could potentially be due to speculative trading or a sudden variation in supply and demand dynamics. However, what followed was as fascinating as the increase itself. The exchange rate quickly settled back into its prior steady state with a value of roughly 0.00715 and continued along this equilibrium for the remaining duration. The impact of this stability may have multiple implications. For businesses that rely heavily on foreign currency exchange, stability reduces the risk premium associated with volatile currency movements. For the wider Liberian economy, it can potentially inspire investor confidence by demonstrating control over macroeconomic dynamics. This type of stability, while unusual, is certainly noteworthy in providing a somewhat safe harbor for businesses and investors navigating the rough seas of the global economy. For the forward-looking investor or analyst, the focus will be on whether this steady exchange rate trajectory is the new normalized state for the Liberian Dollar. This would have far-reaching implications for trade dynamics, fiscal and monetary policy, and the overall economic performance of Liberia''s economy. As we anticipate Liberia''s next steps, it will be crucial to monitor the LRD movements in the coming days and weeks. Will this stable pattern continue or will we return to the more traditional volatile nature of the currency market? Time and data will tell.Stability Reigns Supreme as LRD Exchange Rate Holds Steady

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.