2024-05-17 Lari News

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trends in Exchange Rates

The dataset provided contains data for the GEL exchange rate over a specific period. From the first look at the data, there seems to be a general upward trend in the exchange rate with a few slight variations along the way. The rate starts at 0.49211 around 00:00:02 on 16/05/2024 and ends at 0.49548 around 23:55:01 on the same day. Although there are periods where the exchange rate decreases slightly, the overall trend appears to be climbing.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

The data set provided does not span a long enough period to make a definitive statement on seasonality. Usually, seasonal patterns or trends would be observed over a year or more. However, within the limited timeframe provided, the GEL exchange rate does show a repeated pattern of rising and falling, indicating that there might be intra-day seasonality or patterns associated with specific hours of the day.

Outliers in the Exchange Rates

An outlier in this scenario would be a value that deviates significantly from the range of values seen throughout the period. A definite spike in the value is seen at the timestamp '2024-05-16 10:15:02' where the exchange rate jumps to 0.51399 from 0.51382 and then dips drastically to 0.50069 at the timestamp '2024-05-16 10:20:03'. This could potentially be an outlier and can be attributed to a large financial event, a prime time for the financial market, or other unforeseen variables. Without any more specific context, this event can be classified as an anomaly or outlier.

External Factors

While analyzing the data, no specific consideration was given to market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports. The analysis is purely based on the numbers presented and does not take into account any real-world occurrences that may have impacted the exchange rates.

Forecasting

As per the given task, no future forecasts have been made about the GEL exchange rate. The analysis is built solely around the provided historical data.

h1> In an unexpected turn of events, the national currency of Georgia, the Georgian Lari (GEL), has experienced a striking surge in its exchange rate on May 16, 2024. Over a 24-hour period, the GEL demonstrated impressive performance, rallying and maintaining steady increments throughout the day. The data begins at midnight, indicating the GEL exchange rate at 0.49211. The most considerable leap was observed in the early hours of the day, where within a span of just ten minutes, the GEL jumped from 0.49212 to 0.51359. This upward trajectory continued throughout the day, peaking at 0.51438 by 5:35 AM. There was a time of minor turbulence during the 10 AM to 2 PM window, where the GEL verified unsteady, with a sudden fall to 0.50039 at 12:55 PM, the lowest point of the day. However, by 9:10 PM, the GEL had regained its strength, soars up to 0.51462, before closing the day at 0.49548. The unprecedented surge in the GEL exchange rate is a significant turning point, potentially relevant for investors, market participants, and policymakers, as it may indicate broader economic changes at play. While we cannot precisely predict the causes of this dramatic increase without additional financial and economic indicators, potential reasons might include increased foreign investment, favorable changes in the country''s trade balance, or shifts in monetary policy responses. This strong performance of GEL could have wide-ranging impacts on the Georgian economy. A stronger Lari will mean imports become cheaper, potentially helping to keep inflation in check. Conversely, it could prove challenging for exporters as their goods become more expensive on the international market. Looking ahead, potential volatility in the GEL exchange rate could create both risks and opportunities for different market players. For investors considering Georgian assets or businesses with operations in the country, such exchange rate movements will be vital to monitor. Moreover, the GEL exchange rate surge may have implications for Georgia''s economic policy. If the Lari continues to strengthen, the country''s central bank might face pressures to intervene in the foreign exchange market to prevent potential negative effects on exporters. While the sudden surge in the Georgian Lari''s exchange rate cannot be fully explained without a comprehensive economic and financial analysis, it serves as an essential reminder of the dynamic nature of financial markets. It underscores the need for investors, businesses, and policymakers to stay alert to the latest market trends and be prepared to respond swiftly to changing conditions.Surprising Surge in GEL Exchange Rate: What Lies Ahead

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.