2024-05-15 Lari News

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend

Based on the dataset provided, the overall trend for the exchange rate tends to be stable with minor fluctuations. There is a slow decrease observed in exchange rates, from 0.51139 to around 0.51099 over the given period.

Seasonality Or Recurring Patterns

The dataset doesn't provide enough details (months/years) to conclusively comment on any seasonality patterns or recurrence in the exchange rates. However, by carefully observing the dataset, it can be noted that the rates have mild fluctuation within each day, which might suggest daily trading volatility, but this pattern is not strict and may vary.

Identifying Outliers

Considering that the exchange rate for the provided dataset remains between a narrow range (0.50964 and 0.51150), there does not appear to be any significant outliers or instances where the exchange rate significantly deviated from its general trend. A slight spurt can be observed where it rises to 0.51143 and 0.51150. Yet, they quickly corrected themselves back to the normal range.

Limitations

  • This analysis doesn't consider specific external market events or timings such as market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports.
  • The analysis does not forecast future rates based on existing data.
te Fluctuations The Georgian Lari (GEL) experienced multiple fluctuations on Monday, May 14, 2024, indicating an unpredictable and changeable trend that has left stakeholders and analysts intrigued. Depending on the time of day, the value of GEL shifted in a range from 0.50964 to 0.51150 against the USD. The day kicked off with the exchange standing at 0.51139 at 00:00:02. Subtle fluctuations marked the early hours following midnight with the GEL hovering within a tight band until early dawn. It showed marginal resilience during the early hours, only to soften a bit. So, what instigated these movements? As an expert in finance and exchange rates, there are multiple variables that contribute to such fluctuations, some more influential than others. The main factors include differences in inflation and interest rates, current account deficits, public debt, terms of trade, and political stability. Furthermore, market speculations are known to cause large erratic swings in a currency''s value. On some levels, the movements we''re seeing could point at a robust speculative sentiment in the market. Speculators who engage in currency trading focus on short-term changes in the market, frequently trading in and out of currencies to make a profit on slight movements in exchange rates. This increased trading volume can, however, lead to market volatility. The unpredictable swings in the GEL range throughout the day could be a result of the combined impact of macroeconomic factors and speculative trading. This showcases the complexity of the forex market and the delicate balance that exists among various influences. Looking ahead, the exchange rate of GEL could witness further volatility due to domestic and international economic indicators being released and geopolitical forces at play. Stakeholders are advised to keep an eye on inflation rates, economic growth percentages, and political events that might affect the GEL. From a broader perspective, the observations from the day''s exchange act as a poignant reminder of the unpredictability inherent in the forex market. As the GEL oscillates in value, the emphasis for traders remains on the importance of not just understanding the causes of exchange rate changes but also forecasting future movements. Monitoring the fundamentals of Georgia''s economy, along with international geopolitical scenarios, could prove crucial in predicting GEL''s future. While this specific analysis provides insights on the GEL''s performance on a singular day, regular monitoring of the market over an extended period can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the currency''s trends. This would arm investors and policy makers with the information they need to make informed decisions in an ever-evolving economic environment.GEL Exhibits Volatility Amidst Unpredictable Exchange Rate Fluctuations

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.