2024-05-06 Lari News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

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  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Before proceeding with the data analysis, I'd like to clarify that your data contains timestamps and GEL exchange rates.

1. Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates

Upon viewing the dataset, it is noticeable that the exchange rate initially decreases slightly from 0.50632 to 0.50587, but then fluctuates within a narrow interval from 2024-04-05 to 2024-04-10. The rate starts to climb noticeably on 2024-04-10, reaching a peak of 0.51615 on 2024-04-12. Thereafter, the rate reflects a generally downward trend until 2024-05-03 with some minor fluctuations.

2. Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns

Time series data often contain patterns that repeat over a regular interval, known as seasonality. In this case, it is hard to identify a specific seasonal pattern in the exchange rate changes, likely due to the relatively short period of data provided. A longer duration of dataset might reveal any seasonal or cyclical patterns more clearly.

3. Outliers or unusual instances

Moving beyond general trends and seasonality, it can also be helpful to identify any outliers: instances where data deviates significantly from the trend. For the GEL exchange rate, a daily review of the data mostly shows consistent fluctuations. However, there are several instances of larger increases or decreases, such as on 2024-04-10 where the rate jumps from 0.50601 to 0.50931. These can be considered as unusual instances in the dataset, but the specific reasons behind these changes would require further investigation.

In conclusion, this data represents a period of overall declining exchange rates, with some periods of noticeable increase or decrease. Further investigation with a longer time horizon and/or additional explanatory variables might provide additional insights into the patterns observed here. Please note that this analysis is a simplified interpretation of the data provided and does not include more sophisticated time series analysis techniques that could be used for more precise or predictive analysis. For more detailed insights, more comprehensive statistical analyses could be performed.
pril 2024 In the financial marketplace, the Georgian Lari (GEL) is experiencing significant shifts, with potent fluctuations noted within April 2024. The crucial details that transpired during this period have been compiled into a comprehensive time-series report that followed the GEL''s course, shedding light on the changing dynamics of the currency market. During the first week of April 2024, the GEL seemed relatively stable, the exchange rates range-bound around 0.506. However, within the second week, the volatility took a sizable turn. From April 10th, the rate rose sharply, reaching as high as 0.51088 on the same day. The upward trajectory continued throughout the week, marking its highest peak at 0.51702 on April 16th. The growth trend continued in the following week, with the exchange rate observed to top as high as 0.51987 on April 16th. However, in stark contrast, the GEL witnessed a considerable plunge to 0.515 by April 22nd, effectively wiping out some of the gains. In the final week of April, the currency remained largely low but began its ascent again, culminating in a robust exchange rate of 0.51515 by April 30. Overall, within April, the GEL witnessed a sharp flux in exchange rates, creating an unpredictable yet riveting atmosphere. The GEL''s fluctuations have significant implications for the macro and microeconomic sectors. For exporters, a strengthening GEL would imply lower revenue in the GEL terms, while for importers, it would mean lower costs of imports. In contrast, the weakening of the GEL could negatively impact importers while benefiting exporters. The ebb and flow of exchange rates also plays a vital role in determining investment trends. Moreover, these shifts inevitably affect decision-making across different financial sectors - from investment strategies to monetary policies. The flux, therefore, presents challenges and opportunities that were not there previously, demanding stakeholders to respond quickly and efficiently. While the currency did end the month on a higher note, the pronounced volatility raises concerns about the stability of the financial sector. Such rapid alterations in rates may deter new entrants, particularly international investors, and could stifle economic growth. Looking ahead into May, it remains uncertain whether the trend of volatility will continue or if the GEL will stabilize. Market participants should watch for the impact on trade, investment, and policy-making as these shifts unfold. Overall, the GEL''s performance in April 2024 paints a complex and engaging picture of the dynamics at play in the currency markets. The exchange rates will undoubtedly continue to be a focal point for economists and stakeholders. In conclusion, April 2024 has been a roller coaster of ups and downs for the GEL''s exchange rate. While instability poses challenges, it also opens up unique opportunities for growth and profit. As we move forward, a deeper understanding and closer monitoring of these shifts will be crucial for stakeholders'' decision-making.Unsteady GEL Exchange Rate Witnesses Notable Upturn in April 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

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