2024-04-29 Lari News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis

After carefully examining the provided time-series data on the Georgian Lari (GEL) exchange rate, I have observed the following patterns and trends:

Overall Trend

At a broad level, the exchange rate for the GEL seems to show a slight upward trend over the period covered by the data. This is suggested by the general increase in the exchange rates from around a low of 0.50074 on 2024-03-29 to a high of 0.51987 on 2024-04-16. After this peak, there seems to be a slightly downward trend towards the end of the dataset suggesting possible fluctuation in the exchange rate.

Seasonality Patterns

Seasonality or recurring patterns within a dataset can often be related to certain times of day, week, or month. Given the limited timeframe of this dataset, it is not entirely clear whether there is a specific pattern based on weekdays or time of the day. However, the data does show some fluctuation that may indicate a pattern with higher rates often seen in the second half of the day, but this would require further analysis to confirm.

Outliers

At first glance, the dataset doesn't seem to have notable outliers. Most values fluctuate around an increasing trend line without any extreme variations. Nevertheless, the data points on 2024-04-16 with a peak rate of 0.51987, appears to be higher than the general trend during that period. It could be considered as a potential outlier.

To conclude, while there are certain trends and fluctuating patterns in this data, a more robust conclusion would require more comprehensive data over a longer period of time as well as potentially considering other factors not covered here such as market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, the influence of key financial news, and reports, etc. This could offer a better understanding of the ongoing trends and patterns in these exchange rates.

2024 The GEL exchange rate experienced a marked escalation during the month of April 2024, resulting in a noteworthy impact on the financial markets. Assessed from an extensive dataset of time-series financial data, there has been a compelling shift in the Georgian Lari (GEL) exchange rates, traced from the end of March to the end of April 2024. Starting from a position of 0.5034 at the start of this period, the GEL rate demonstrated fluctuations around an ascending trend until it reached 0.50961, as indicated by the final timestamp on the 26th of April, 2024. The moderate, yet significant, increase in the exchange rate has been a focal point for market players, given the inherent correlations and interdependencies within the broader economy. Key market indicators and financial analysts suggest several potential catalysts for this increase in the GEL exchange rate. Among these are plausible significant foreign direct investment (FDI) into the country, possible favorable alterations in trade agreements with strategic partners, or likely marked improvements in the nation''s gross domestic product (GDP). It''s significant to stress on the implication of such a surge. A stronger GEL makes imports cheaper, thus could potentially tamp down inflation pressures in the Georgian economy. However, it may also influence the nation''s exports competitiveness, which could adversely impact sectors substantially reliant on exporting goods and services. The shift in exchange rates could also potentially influence the decisions of foreign investors. A steady increase in GEL might be interpreted as a sign of economic stability and growth, thus attracting more foreign investment. Conversely, it might raise concerns about Georgia''s export competitiveness and could lead investors to reevaluate their positions. Shedding light on the context, Georgia has been ardently working towards more financial stability and robust economic growth in the recent past. These exchange rate movements could be an echo of these efforts, offering a promising glimpse of a resilient economy. As we look ahead, it becomes crucially important to continue observing these trends in the GEL exchange rate. Accelerations or decelerations in the rate could signify shifts in the economic landscape and thereby require significant market strategy recalibrations. Future indicators to look out for include alterations in trade balances, GDP, and FDI trends, all of which have substantial bearing on the exchange rates. To conclude, these developments place a spotlight on Georgia''s economic dynamism and underscore the importance of monitoring exchange rates as meaningful indictors of a country''s economic health. Time-series financial data, such as these, offer a wealth of insight waiting to be tapped, guiding decision-makers, investors, and policy crafters towards informed and effective strategies, both for today and tomorrow.Significant Surge in GEL Exchange Rate Observed in April 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.