2024-05-13 Kyat News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Overall Trend in Exchange Rates

Based on the given data, it can be observed that the exchange rates fluctuated between 0.00065 and 0.00066. This suggests that over the provided period, the exchange rates were fairly stable. There wasn't a consistent upward or downward trend. Instead, the rates were exhibiting more of a horizontal movement, hovering within a narrowly confined range. This means that the value of the currency was relatively stable during this period, without significant changes to its value as compared to the other currency.

2. Seasonality and Recurring Patterns in Exchange Rates

Identifying seasonality or recurring patterns in exchange rates can be quite challenging due to the inherent noise and volatility in exchange rate data. However, based on the provided data, it's difficult to discern a clear seasonal or recurring pattern. Instead, the MMK exchange rate during this period seems to oscillate within a narrow range without a clear cyclical or repeating pattern. Irregular fluctuations, as seen in this data, can suggest that the exchange rates are influenced by a myriad of factors, which may not necessarily occur in a predictable or cyclical manner.

3. Outliers in the Exchange Rate

Given the consistent hovering between 0.00065 and 0.00066, we can assess that there seem to be no significant outliers in the given dataset. An outlier would be a data point that significantly deviates from the other observed values - for example, a sudden spike or dip in the exchange rate that doesn't align with the rest of the data. In the observed data, all the values of the exchange rate are within the same narrow range, indicating the absence of outliers.

Note that this analysis only considers the exchange rate itself and does not take into account external factors like economic or political events that may have influenced the currency value during the given time period.

ility In a remarkable display of stability, the MMK (Myanmar Kyat) exchange rate has maintained its position in the midst of market fluctuations, according to recent findings. This stability, over a period extending from April 12 to May 10, 2024, has experts pondering the potential factors behind this phenomenon. The MMK, Myanmar''s official currency, managed to hover between the 0.00065 and 0.00066 rate throughout this period. This near-constant rate occurred despite the foreign exchange market, generally known for its volatility and frequent fluctuations. While it might not seem headline-worthy to an untrained eye, financial experts observe such consistency as a rarity, particularly in the current climate where most currencies are experiencing significant ups and downs due to the aftermath of the global pandemic and rising geopolitical tensions. This consistency in MMK rates gives an indication of a robust and promising Myanmar economy, providing a firm foundation for businesses and investors who are considering the South East Asian country as a potential frontier market. Regarding external factors, the stable MMK exchange rate could be partly due to the recent global economic slowdown that saw major currencies like Dollars and Euros depreciating, making MMK seem relatively steady. Importantly, a consistent exchange rate also represents stability for Myanmar''s trading partners. For instance, investors, importers, and exporters dealing with Myanmar don''t have to worry about sharp variations affecting their trade agreements or investment portfolios. However, experts warn that a stable exchange rate should not be viewed entirely as a positive sign. It could potentially hint at MMK overvaluation, which can lead to an eventual economic downturn due to an imbalance in the trade between exports and imports. In an overvalued currency scenario, country''s goods become more expensive and less competitive in the global market, affecting the nation''s balance of trade. The situation presents an opportunity for the governing financial bodies in Myanmar to take strategic actions. Central Bank of Myanmar should maintain a close watch and manage the currency''s valuation to prevent any adverse fallout. In the coming weeks, market spectators will be eager to see if the MMK''s stability is an anomaly or a true indicator of controlled economic management. For now, the level of constancy shown in the MMK exchange rate should give both local and international investors a measure of confidence in the Myanmar economy, even amid global economic turbulence. On the flip side, careful vigilance of the market will still be required, as a sudden change could have significant implications. Investors are encouraged to stay informed about potential shifts, particularly in the context of the current geopolitical and economic instability which could cause an eventual ripple effect even in the most steady markets. Indeed, one thing experts agree on - the economy often holds surprises for even the most cautious of analysts.Stable MMK Exchange Rate Persistent Despite Market Volatility

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.