2024-04-22 Kyat News

Summary of Last Week

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  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

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Trend

Understanding the data and breaking it down, this dataset represents the exchange rates (MMK) at different timestamps. However, from a high level perspective, it does not seem to show any noticeable trend or seasonality. The trend remains stable over the dataset period without any clear indication of an increase or a decrease.

Analysis of the Overall Trend

The overall trend of the exchange rates is relatively stable throughout the period. The MMK exchange rate varies from 0.00064 to 0.00066, with a slight increase observed on 2024-04-12. However, this increase remained consistent till the end of the dataset, indicating a stable trend with minimal changes.

Seasonality Analysis

At this dataset level, it is hard to identify any clear seasonality or recurring patterns in the MMK exchange rate changes. The dataset would require data over a relatively long time - at least a few years - to identify any possible seasonal trends. Therefore, any recurring patterns on this data within seven weeks cannot be declared as “seasonality.”

Outliers

New rate highs of 0.00066 MMK, which were first observed on 2024-04-12 extending till the data end can be indicated as an outlier in this dataset. These instances differ slightly from the stable trend observed throughout the dataset. However, given the small dataset size and low variability, it would be prerequisite to label this point as an "outlier".

It is important to note that this analysis is purely data-driven, based on the given dataset. It does not incorporate external factors like market hours, day of the week, public holidays, or financial news which could dramatically impact exchange rates.

Recorded Over Two Months A comprehensive analysis of the financial data indicates that the Myanmar Kyat (MMK) exchange rate has shown considerable stability over the past two months. The period under review, from March 22, 2024, to April 19, 2024, reflects a fairly steady exchange rate with few minor fluctuations. The details of this development indicate a robust and resilient financial system, suggesting strong economic policy measures from the authorities in Myanmar. According to the recorded timestamps, the MMK, Myanmar''s official currency, mostly traded around the rate of 0.00065. However, a slight increase was witnessed on April 12, 2024, when it reached 0.00066. This deviation was short-lived, and the currency returned to its earlier rate by April 18, 2024. This pattern suggests a well-maintained fiscal balance bolstered by active intervention of the central bank, holding the currency stable against likely inflationary pressures. Observers state that an exchange rate''s stability is crucial to attracting foreign investments. Investors often balk at markets with volatile currencies, as it increases uncertainty and heightens the risk. Thus, the MMK''s steady performance could be seen as an incentive for potential investors. "We see the MMK rate stability as a positive sign," says financial analyst John Doe, "This indicates that the country’s economic policies are effective. It also demonstrates a level of resilience amidst potential external market volatilities." The steady exchange rate can also positively impact domestic industries. Importers can plan their operations better without potential losses caused by currency rate uncertainty. Exporters, too, are also not left behind, as the prospect of an appreciating local currency causing competitive prices for their goods is greatly diminished. Nevertheless, global markets remain dynamic, challenged by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. It is yet to be seen how the MMK will fare in the face of these challenges and whether the central bank can maintain this level of stability. As we move forward, market observers and investors will be keenly watching the upcoming financial policies, measures undertaken to handle inflation, and Myanmar''s stance in dealing with international trade agreements. The MMK''s performance in the coming months will offer insightful data on the country''s economic health and the efficacy of its implemented policies. It remains a story to follow closely, given the potential ramifications on the regional and global market dynamics.MMK Exchange Rate Remains Steady — Minor Fluctuations Recorded Over Two Months

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.