2024-05-13 Kwanza News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

After carefully examining the time-series dataset of the AOA exchange rate, I have extracted several key insights and findings. Here are the details:

1. Trend Analysis

The data indicates that the exchange rate remains relatively stable throughout the entire period with slight fluctuation. The values predominantly remain within a limited range of 0.00163 to 0.00166. There are some periods where the value is constant for example between '2024-04-12 02:00:02' to '2024-04-12 14:00:01' where the value stays at 0.00165. This suggests stable market conditions during these periods.

2. Seasonality & Recurring Patterns

In the case of seasonality or recurring patterns, it seems that there doesn't appear to be a clear and distinct pattern repeating at regular intervals in this dataset. This dataset, however, seems to show an intra-day fluctuation pattern where the rate seems to change or move within a day and get back to around the opening rate the next day. Further analysis with more detailed timestamps (i.e., second-by-second or minute-by-minute) may be required to confirm this pattern.

3. Identification of Outliers

Given the relatively stable nature of the rates, any value that deviates substantially from the range of 0.00163 to 0.00166 could be considered an outlier. However, within this dataset, there doesn't appear to be any significant outliers, suggesting that the rates in this period did not experience any extreme volatility.

In conclusion, this dataset presents a generally stable exchange rate situation with minor fluctuations. Further sub-time-frame analysis might reveal more patterns or anomalies. Remember, these findings do not take into account the impact of external events or factors that could potentially lead to significant movements in rates.

s April-May 2024 In a market that’s often characterized by volatility and rapid changes, the Angolan Kwanza (AOA) has displayed a peculiar steadiness in its foreign exchange rates from April to May of the year 2024. During this specific period, the AOA exchange rate followed a minimal fluctuation trend that ran surprisingly consistent over the span of the said two months. Analyzing the supplied time-series data, it was noted that the exchange rate maintained a narrow margin of variance around 0.00165 and 0.00163. This tepid undulation appears counterintuitive to conventional market dynamics, thereby drawing the attention of financial analysts and economists. Such an extended period of stability in exchange rates is rare, and it implies various factors working together to create a situation of relative calm. It could be the reflection of a stable domestic economy, competent management of monetary policy by Angola''s central bank, and balanced international trade dynamics. As exchange rates heavily impact international trade, a stable AOA can potentially attract foreign investors seeking predictable returns. However, the consistency can be a double-edged sword as it may demotivate forex traders seeking profits in the market''s volatility. The question on many experts’ minds is how long this steadiness will continue. While the data presently shows a persistent condition of stability, it offers no definitive forecast concerning the future progression of the AOA. Economists suggest watching for factors such as changes in Angola''s economic indicators, global trade dynamics, and other geopolitical factors that can affect the stable equilibrium. Consequently, the minor downward trend of AOA’s exchange rate from 0.00166 to 0.00163 over the month period raises slight concerns. Currency depreciation could impact Angola''s import costs, domestic inflation, and sovereign debt levels, which are usually denominated in foreign currencies. While the consistency in currency exchange rates is noteworthy, a further reduction in the currency''s value could pose challenges for the Angolan economy. Therefore, investors and stakeholders must closely monitor the economic policies of Angola''s central bank and broader economic trends in Angola and internationally. As the market moves forward, experts advise stakeholders to stay vigilant concerning changes in global currency markets. Whether the AOA''s stability will become its strength or its weakness depends on numerous national and international financial factors. These are uncertain times and as always, the only certainty in the financial markets remains change.Steady Margin of Fluctuation in AOA Exchange Rates Across April-May 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.