2024-04-30 Kwanza News

Summary of Last Month

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Analysis of Time Series Data for AOA Exchange Rates

The dataset for the exchange rate AOA was closely observed from April 29 2024 to April 29 2024 and several notable patterns and trends were observed, which are outlined below:

1. Understanding the Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

The majority of recorded data showed that the AOA exchange rate was consistent, remaining at 0.00164, with only a slight deviation noticeable towards the end of data collection where it dropped to 0.00163 for some time before returning to the original rate of 0.00164. The consistency in the provided data within this interval implies the exchange rate was relatively stable over this time period.

2. Identification of Any Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

Regarding seasonality or recurring patterns, no discernible patterns were recognized from the provided dataset. This lack of recurring trends may be as a result of the nature of the data, spanning just the duration of a single day which isn't sufficient to observe seasonal trends. Notably, however, a slight change occured at 11:05:02 when the rate dropped slightly to 0.00163, suggesting that there might be a slight fluctuation occuring at certain periods of the day. Nevertheless, the overall AOA exchange rate remained considerably constant over this period of analysis.

3. Outliers or Significant Deviations

As for outliers or instances where the exchange rate differed significantly, the dataset did not showcase any conspicuous differences. One mild deviation occured around 11:05:02 where the rate dropped slightly to 0.00163, which could represent a short-term fluctuation or deviation. However, it proceeded to return back to its original rate of 0.00164 relatively soon which suggests that this was not a significant outlier that could potentially disrupt the trend.

In sum, the provided data shows a steady pattern with few fluctuations for the AOA exchange rate across the captured timeframe. Please note that due to the narrow timeframe of this data, we can't make broad generalizations or projections for long-term trends or seasonal patterns.

24 Hours In a surprising turn of events in the financial markets, the exchange rate of the Angolan Kwanza (AOA) against the US dollar has displayed unparalleled stability over the span of 24-hours. This momentous event unfolded on the 29th of April 2024. The exchange rate, tracked at five-minute intervals throughout the day, remained steadfast at 0.00164, up until 11:05 am. At this juncture, a slight dip was recorded as the rate dropped by a minuscule amount to 0.00163. The blip in the impeccable stability, however, was short-lived as the rate soon rose back to 0.00164 at 3:50 pm and persisted until midnight, maintaining the overall stability. Such uniformity in exchange rates, especially over a 24-hour period, is remarkably rare in the fluctuating financial market. This event made the investors and market analysts alike, stand up and take notice. The absence of volatility over this 24-hour period in the currency''s value can be attributed to multiple factors. On the domestic front, the Central Bank of Angola''s monetary policies aimed at achieving exchange rate stability seem to have come to fruition. Internationally, the stability of crude oil prices, given the economy''s dependence on oil exports, appears to have played a crucial role as well. But why is this significant? For a country like Angola, where the economy has been constantly grappling with inflation and the currency has seen significant depreciation, a day of steadiness is undoubtedly a welcome respite for investors. It projects confidence in AOA''s international dealings, potentially attracting foreign investors. In terms of impact, the steady exchange rate has temporarily reduced the unpredictability in the forex market. Traders and investors can now strategize better and anticipate changes more accurately. This invariably leads to well-informed investment decisions. As for institutional investors who hold a substantial amount of AOA in their portfolios, the steady exchange rate eliminates the need for hasty portfolio rebalancing – a process that comes with high transaction costs. Simply put, traders can do more with less stress. Looking ahead, we are in a time of economic uncertainty prompted by complex global events. This historically stable run can be viewed as an outlier, or perhaps an indication of the AOA''s future potential. In either case, investors and market enthusiasts should watch keenly for the next move in the forex markets.AOA Exchange Rate Exhibits Unprecedented Stability Over 24 Hours

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.