2024-05-06 Kenyan Shilling News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

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  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Understanding the Overall Trend

Upon analysis of the given dataset, it is found that the exchange rate of KES generally exhibits small fluctuations over the period covered, and shows a slight decreasing trend. The value starts at 0.01047 and ends at 0.01014, showing a mild decline. It indicates that the value of KES in terms of exchange rate may have depreciated slightly during this period.

Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

No strong recurring seasonal patterns were visible. The fluctuations in the exchange rate appear to be more random than cyclical, suggesting that there may be a multitude of factors influencing these rates. However, a more detailed analysis with hourly, daily or monthly data samples can help unveil potential patterns that are not immediately apparent in the current dataset.

Noting Outliers

An outlier observed in the dataset is the sudden spike in value to 0.01068 on 2024-04-08 22:00:02, which then drops back to usual levels. The cause of this sudden change is not clear based on the data provided and it significantly differs from the general trend noticed.

Another notable point is a gradual increase in the value to 0.0106 around 2024-04-12, followed by a consistent downfall until 0.01011 by 2024-04-29. These kind of trends give an insight into the volatile nature of the exchange rates.

The overall analysis based solely on the given data suggests small fluctuations in the exchange rate with a slight overall decrease for the period considered. No significant seasonality or recurring patterns were identified. Few outliers were noted during the period which may need further analysis or external information for explanation.

oncludes As the calendar page turned from March to April, the Kenya Shilling (KES) exchange rates found themselves on a continuously undulating roller coaster ride. While the variations weren''t major enough to cause any drastic impact, they indeed merit a closer look for any avid financial market observer. The KES kicked off at a rate of 0.01047 on April 5 but promptly dipped to 0.01043 on April 9, indicating a minor drop of 0.01% within the span of five days. A brief period of petite stability was seen from April 10 to April 12, as the exchange rates hovered around 0.01053, a slight increase of 1%. But the ephemeral stability was soon replaced by a gradual downward trajectory that lasted until April 25. The low point was reached at 0.01012, marking a decrease of about 3.8% over two weeks. A minor recovery saw the rates pull upwards to 0.01022 on April 22, predicting a positive turn of events. However, that did not last long as the KES went back to sliding to 0.01012 on April 29. The turn of the month brought some good news as the KES saw a sharp surge, reaching 0.01039 on May 1—an increase of 2.7% within a day. These shifts, although somewhat minor, showed a certain volatility within the usually stable KES. One might now speculate the reasons behind these fluctuations, but only a comprehensive understanding of global events, economic factors, and fiscal policies can elucidate these shifts. Factors like geopolitical issues, national financial health, or even unforeseen circumstances like disease outbreaks can ripple out to cause such moves in the financial markets. On assessing the potential impacts of this vague instability, it is crucial to understand that exchange rates directly affect international trade. Any depreciation in the KES rate will make Kenyan goods cheaper in the international market, potentially boosting exports. Conversely, imports become costly leading to inflationary pressures in the domestic market. Heading into May, financial enthusiasts continue to watch for any significant movements, although predictions are fraught with uncertainties. With a pick-up-pace evident towards the end of April, the outcome is expected to be hopeful. The key takeaway from this is the constant need to be vigilant about economic trends not just in one’s home country, but on a global scale. Minor fluctuations may seem insignificant on an individual level, but in the grand scheme, they contribute to molding the economic fabric of the country.KES Exchange Rates Observe Minor Fluctuations as April Concludes

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.