2024-04-23 Kenyan Shilling News

Summary of Last Month

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  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

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Trend

Overall trend of the exchange rates

From an initial overview of the data, it appears that the exchange rate for KES is generally stable, with a slight decreasing trend over the time period represented. In the beginning, the exchange rate remains static at 0.01045 before slightly dipping around the 03:30 mark, dropping to approximately 0.01044. In the subsequent timestamps, there is a more significant decrease, hitting a low at around 0.01023. Following that, the rate seems to fluctuate slightly but largely remains constant for the rest of the period.

Identification of any patterns in the exchange rates

As for seasonality or recurring patterns, time-series analysis usually implies a more extensive dataset that spans across multiple cycles (such as multiple years) for the identification of potential seasonality, which is not evident in this case because the data spans for a day. However, there are slight variations in the exchange rate noted during different parts of the day and more evident drops followed by stabilization can be recognized as a minor pattern, repeated few times throughout the day.

Outliers in the dataset

In terms of outliers in this dataset, it seems that there aren't any instances where the exchange rate differs significantly from the trend. The rate changes are relatively minor and do not fall out of the general trend observed. This might indicate that the market was relatively stable and void of drastic economic news or events during this time period.

In summary, the exchange rate represented in the dataset reveals a generally stable market with minor decreasing trend & slight fluctuations throughout the day, but without any significant variances or outliers.

rket Analysts In a surprising turn of events, the Kenyan Shilling (KES) has exhibited exceedingly steady exchange rates on April 22, 2024, defying the volatility typically associated with currency markets. This intriguing departure from the norm has left numerous market analysts and economic forecasters perplexed. The time-series data collected over the entire day—from midnight to midnight—shows an unprecedented level of consistency in the KES exchange rate. The rate hovered between 0.01022 and 0.01028 throughout the day, a highly stable range in a context typically characterized by significant fluctuations. Traditionally, the exchange rates are influenced by a myriad of factors such as inflation, interest rates, political stability, economic performance, and speculation. However, the perfect calmness experienced in the KES trade on this specific day prompts an examination of the underlying dynamics. Notably, this stability in the KES exchange rate manifests amidst a dynamic global economic landscape riddled with uncertainties. It contradicts trends of other counters, raising questions about a potential phenomenon unique to Kenya''s economic realities or fiscal policies. Despite the bewilderment, this phenomenon is not devoid of implications. As many economic observers argue, stability in the exchange rate bodes well for businesses and investors. "It provides a conducive environment for not only local but foreign investors as well since there''s reduced exchange rate risk," notes a senior economist from a renowned institution. Additionally, this rate stability could aid in curtailing the inflation rates, thereby providing macroeconomic stability. It will be advantageous for consumers as the prices of imported goods would remain predictable, further enhancing economic robustness. Yet, some critics are wary of prolonged constancy, arguing it could signal problematic rigidity and possibly an overly controlled economy. Such a situation could limit the market’s natural auto-correction mechanisms, potentially leading to a crisis when change eventually comes. In the wake of this startling stability, all eyes are now on the Central Bank of Kenya and whether this trend will continue in the ensuing days. It remains to be seen if the KES stability proves to be a mere blip on the radar or if it is indicative of a long-term trend. In conclusion, as intriguing as this stability might be, market participants should closely scrutinize subsequent shifts in the KES exchange rate and the factors contributing to such trends for risk mitigation. The world waits with bated breath as this peculiar economic event unfolds.Unanticipated Stability in KES Exchange Rates Baffles Market Analysts

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.