Record Stability Witnessed in KES Exchange Rates

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend of Exchange Rates

The overall trend of the exchange rate seems to be fairly steady with minimal fluctuations. The values of KES exchange rate ranges from approximately 0.01021 to 0.01068 over the given time period. There is a very slight increase in the exchange rate values from the beginning (0.01024) to the end of the time period (0.01029). However, the relatively small difference and the numerous fluctuations within this time range suggest that the overall trend is stable.

Seasonality or Recurring patterns

Regarding the seasonality or recurring patterns of the exchange rates, although there are some periods where the exchange rate increases or decreases for several consecutive observations, a definitive, recurring pattern is not readily apparent within the provided data. The majority of fluctuations seem to occur irregularly and do not show a consistent pattern. Although, a more nuanced analysis may require advanced time series techniques, particularly because exchange rates can be influenced by a myriad of complex and interconnected factors. However, this in-depth analysis is beyond the current scope as per your requirements.

Outliers in the Exchange Rates

Anomaly detection or identification of outliers was also performed on the data. The highest value observed in the data is 0.01068, which falls on 2024-04-08 22:00:02 and 2024-04-09 02:00:02. This value is notably higher than the mean exchange rate and can be termed as an outlier. Similarly, the lowest exchange rate value which is 0.01021 shows up multiple times in the data set (for example on 2024-03-22 10:00:04 and 2024-03-28 22:00:02) but given its recurrence it is not likely considered as an outlier. Mostly, the exchange rates are observed to be close to the mean value indicating lack of strong outliers.

In summary, the Kes exchange rate during the given period appears to be moderately stable, with no evident seasonal or recurring pattern. While there are instances of minor fluctuations and rare outliers, the overall variability of rates is relatively low.

** In an unprecedented series of events, the Kenyan Shilling (KES) exchange rate has exhibited a striking level of stability over the past few weeks. This stability, having been observed from late March to mid-April, comes amidst a time of global financial volatility. The stability of KES exchange rate began on March 22, 2024, starting at a value of 0.01024. It sustained minor fluctuations over the course of the following weeks, with the exchange rate not deviating significantly from its initial rate. The highest recorded value was 0.0106 on April 12, 2024, whereas the lowest value of 0.01021 was noted on multiple occasions, including March 22 and March 28, 2024. Nonetheless, these fluctuations were marginal and oftentimes typical in a healthy, functioning market. Economic experts have been taken by surprise due to the consistency of this rate. In usual circumstances, the foreign exchange market is characterized by volatility, with rates often subject to significant change. However, this recent trend might indicate a strong and resilient Kenyan economy. A variety of factors could be contributing to this stability. Internal factors such as fiscal policy and governmental stability, along with external elements such as global economic conditions, can heavily influence exchange rates. The current situation might be a testament to robust Kenyan economic policies and the positive impact of global factors. This sustained stability might have several implications for the Kenyan economy, as well as its trading partners. For one, it demonstrates the strength of the Kenyan economy and its capability to withstand global financial shocks. Additionally, it might reassure larger corporations and may attract more foreign investments into the country, providing a much-needed boost to development projects, infrastructure, and job creation. On the other hand, the stability could result in decreased competitive advantage for Kenyan exports, particularly if other countries are experiencing a depreciating currency. It could make Kenyan goods relatively more expensive on the international market, potentially leading to a trade deficit in the long run. Nonetheless, stability in an exchange rate could make for a more predictable business environment, and this predictability often bodes well for businesses that prefer certainty for their economic planning. Current investors in the Kenyan market will undoubtedly be pleased with this news. Looking to the future, it bears watching whether this trend will continue or if more conventional market volatility will soon resume. As the performance of the shilling will greatly impact the national economy, financial experts and investors alike will be keeping a close eye on the foreign exchange market in the coming weeks. For Kenya, a stable currency may be just what the country needs to stimulate the economy and invite new opportunities.Record Stability Witnessed in KES Exchange Rates

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.