2024-05-06 Jersey Pound News
2024-05-05
Summary of Last Week
- Opening:
- Closing:
- Difference of Opening & Closing:
- Daily High:
- Daily Low:
- Difference of Daily High & Low:
Statistical Measures
- Mean:
- Standard Deviation:
Trend
Understanding the Overall Trend of Exchange Rates
The dataset provides us with a list of exchange rates (JEP) captured at different timestamps over the course of one month, specifically from April to the beginning of May. After carrying out financial analysis, we can observe a gradual increase in the exchange rates through the month. Initially, on 2024-04-05, the JEP exchange rate was 1.70192 which slightly fluctuated but remained around the same range until around 2024-04-10. From this point, there was a significant increase, moving the exchange rate to a higher range around 1.717. This upward trend continued, reaching a peak of about 1.72888 on 2024-04-12. Following this, there was a significant drop in rates, pushing them back to around 1.71148 on 2024-04-15. The rates then fluctuated within a certain range until the end of the provided dataset, where it stands at 1.70487 on 2024-05-03.
Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns
After analyzing the data, it is challenging to identify clear seasonal or recurring patterns within this one month period of time. However, it is worth noting that sharp increases in exchange rates such as those occurring around 2024-04-10 and drops like the one on 2024-04-15 may suggest a weekly pattern, where rates rise and fall every few days. This pattern is seen consistently throughout the dataset provided, but more data over a longer period of time would be needed to confirm this observation and rule out the possibility of it being a mere coincidence.
Outliers or Significant Variations
In the dataset provided, there are few points where the exchange rates have shown substantial deviations from their adjacent points. A marked example of an outlier is the sharp increase on 2024-04-10, where the exchange rate jumped from 1.70064 to 1.71194. Though there might be specific reasons for such a sharp increase, this change is beyond what might be expected based on the trend observed before and after that date. Similarly, another significant shift in the trend is observed on 2024-04-15 when the exchange rate which was at 1.72888 suddenly drops to 1.71302. These types of unexpected changes create significant deviations from the adjacent rates, showcasing them as outliers.
Limitations
This analysis is based on the given dataset which only spans a month's duration. For a more in-depth look into the trends, seasonality, and outliers, data spanning across several months or even years would be preferable as it would allow for the capturing of long-term trends, recurring seasonal patterns, and more established inefficiencies in the exchange rates.