Observing a consistent decrease in HKDs performance during May 2024
2024-05-01
Summary of Yesterday
- Opening:
- Closing:
- Difference of Opening & Closing:
- Daily High:
- Daily Low:
- Difference of Daily High & Low:
Statistical Measures
- Mean:
- Standard Deviation:
Trend
Understanding the Overall Trend
From the provided dataset, for the date of 2024-05-01, the HKD exchange rate has been observed to exhibit a generally decreasing trend. The exchange rate started from 0.17619 at the beginning of the day (around midnight) and ended at 0.17554 by the end of the day (around 11:55 pm). Although there were minute fluctuations in between, the general direction was downward, albeit slightly.
Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns
On a daily basis, analyzing time-series data within such short intervals (every 5 minutes) may not provide a clear seasonal pattern or periodicity. However, a degree of volatility can be observed as there are periods with rapid changes followed by periods of relative stability across the day. These periods typically alternate, which suggests an intra-day pattern. Further analysis would be required over a larger dataset, preferably spanning multiple weeks or months, to conclusively identify any seasonality or recurring patterns.
Noting Outliers
Given the high-frequency nature of the dataset, standard deviation could be used to identify any outliers. However, the data for this particular day did not reveal any significant outliers. The exchange rate remained within a very tight band, and no rate differed significantly from the overall observed average for this day. It's important to note that outlier detection might be more insightful over a broader timeline and larger dataset, where there could be more pronounced deviations from the mean driven by macroeconomic events or news.
Conclusion
- The overall trend for the exchange rate on this day was slightly downwards.
- In terms of seasonality, high-frequency intra-day data may not display clear patterns. However, an alternating pattern of volatility was noticed.
- No significant outliers were found in this particular dataset.
It's vital to remember that these observations and patterns are based on a single day's data. For more accurate insights and understanding of long-term trends, a wider range of data spanning over a more extended period would be needed.