2024-04-29 Guyana Dollar News

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

The overall trend of the GYD exchange rate seems to be relatively stable with minor fluctuations. There is no clear increasing or decreasing pattern that persists for a significant period of time. Instead, the rate appears to fluctuate slightly around an average value of approximately 0.0065.

Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

While there appear to be minor fluctuations in the exchange rate, the patterns do not seem to subsist for prolonged periods. Any apparent cyclic patterns may be due to random chance rather than a persistent seasonality effect. Given the limited data, it is challenging to definitively ascertain the presence of seasonality or recurring patterns.

Outliers

Given the stability of the exchange rate, there aren't many noticeable outliers in the data. Most exchange rate readings fall within a narrow band centered around the mean value. This suggests that during the analyzed period, no significant economic events occurred that might have triggered larger-than-usual fluctuations in the exchange rate. However, the timestamp of "2024-04-12 14:00:01" showed a slightly higher rate of 0.00659 which is slightly above the observed average.

It's important to note that the absence of significant outliers or pronounced trends is common in exchange rate data, as rates are often influenced by a myriad of factors that work to sustain relative stability. Central banks and international entities work to stabilize rates through a variety of economic policies and mechanisms like interest rate adjustments and foreign exchange interventions.

Limitations

This analysis considers only the raw exchange rate data, without incorporating any contextual information about concurrent economic, political, or social events. Understanding the broader context is often crucial in interpreting financial time-series data effectively.

Also, it's important to note that although the data does not show any strong trend or seasonality, interpretation can change when more data or larger time frame is considered.

s Over Two Weeks The analysis of the Guyanese Dollar (GYD) exchange rate over a period of approximately two weeks in March-April 2024 reveals a series of fluctuations that could potentially affect market strategies and investors'' decisions. The GYD data being analyzed is time series data, representing the exchange rates at varying timestamps starting 29th March 2024 ending 26th April 2024. Through the analysis of intricate changes, professionals in the finance sector can identify patterns, trends and make predictions useful for business operations and investment decisions. Foremost, there was stability in the GYD exchange rates until the end of March 2024. The rate was steady at 0.00647. However, minor fluctuations were observed within the first week of April 2024, which recorded a marginal rise to 0.0065 by April 3rd. The rate dropped slightly to 0.00644 on April 4th. The fluctuation, though slight, is noticeable and indicates a variable market, where the exchange rate of the GYD may rise or dip at any moment. This unpredictability, while presenting opportunities for savvy investors, may also involve higher risks. While April 10th recorded a higher rate leap to 0.00653, a sudden dip to 0.00646 was reported by April 11th. Interestingly, from April 12th, the exchange rate showed a visible hike trend, touching the peak of 0.00659 on April 18th. A descending order was then observed until the end of data collection, where it left off at 0.00653 on April 26th. The oscillating trends, however, were within a narrow range. It presents a scenario of a balanced exchange rate state, which is a favorable condition for businesses engaged in import and export dealings, as it helps in curbing exchange rate risk. This behavior of the GYD exchange rate over the past two weeks has been a reflection of multiple economic factors. These likely include changes in the country''s GDP, inflation rates, and market speculations, among other things. It''s also worth noting that foreign exchange rates have indirect effects on the level of a country''s economic growth. A stable currency helps ensure low inflation rates and fosters economic growth. Looking forward, if these patterns continue, they can aid investment strategies, as minor fluctuations may lead to large earnings for Forex traders, while retailers and customers may be affected by the changes due to the resulting alterations in the price of imported goods. In conclusion, while the recent fluctuations in GYD''s exchange rates are not particularly unusual, they provide a canvas for potential opportunities and risks. As events in the financial world unfold, it will be interesting to monitor how these bear upon the future exchange rate trends of the GYD, ideally guiding the decision-making processes of investors, businesses, and policymakers along the way. In the meantime, one should keep an attentive eye on the rich tapestry of economic variables that influence these rates.Analysis Reveals Consistent Changes in GYD Exchange Rates Over Two Weeks

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

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